BMIE Market 34228
Sarasota County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 7,539 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,222 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,888 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,814 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $158,030 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,332 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 71.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,022,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±76,678 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34228 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 20.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +63.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -5.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 21 (range 19–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34228. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.7 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70.2 | 70 | 35% | +24.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 68.4 | 68 | 25% | +17.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 7,539 | 67 | 40% | +26.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 158,030 | 97 | 40% | +38.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,222 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 63.6 | 87 | 35% | +30.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 23.9 | 29 | 25% | +7.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 7,539 | 67 | 20% | +13.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 158,030 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 20 | 77 | 50% | +38.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 63.6 | 87 | 30% | +26.0 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -5.3 | 18 | 20% | +3.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (51)
By cuisine
American 14 · Coffee 9 · Seafood 7 · Italian 6 · Pizza 4 · European 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Bar 15 · Casual dining 9 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ana's Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 5610 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Aquarius Club | Bar | 1701 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open | |
| Bayou Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6814 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open | |
| Bayou Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 6814 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Blue Dolphin Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 5370 Gulf of Mexico Dr #101 | open |
| Cascades Pool Bar | Bar | open | ||
| Cedars Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 645 Cedars Ct | open | |
| Chart House Chart House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 201 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Chubby's Lounge | Bar | 6858 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open | |
| Ciao Italia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5333 Sandhamn Pl | open |
| CW Prime | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 1601 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Dry Dock Waterfront Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 412 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Elegant Lady Cheesecake Parlor | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery | 6842 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Euphemia Haye Restaurant & The Haye Loft | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5540 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open | |
| Guppy's | Bar · Casual dining | American | 5610 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Harry's Continental Kitchens (Restaurant) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | European · American | 525 St Judes Dr | open |
| Hugo II | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | European | 645 Cedars Ct | open |
| La Norma Ristorante & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | km #104, 5370 Gulf of Mexico Dr 8828 35 | open |
| La Villa Café LBK | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 5610 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Latitudes Beach Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Coffee | 4711 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Lazy Lobster Lazy Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 5350 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Longbeach Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 6836 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Longboat Key Club | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3000 Harbourside Dr | open |
| Longbost Desserts Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5350 Gulf Of Mexico Dr Ste 103 | open | |
| Lo’ Key Island Grille | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5620 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Maison Blanche | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French · European | 2605 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Mar Vista Dockside Restaurant & Pub | Bar | Seafood | 760 Broadway St | open |
| Moms Spaghetti | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | Poinsetta Ave | open |
| Moore's Stone Crab Restautant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 800 Broadway St | open |
| Nautical Bowls Nautical Bowls | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 525 Bay Isles Pkwy | open |
| Pattigeorge's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4120 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Penny's Ice Cream | Dessert · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 5610 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4949 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Portabella A Portabella Kids at Jersey Gardens | Café | Mexican · Italian · Coffee | 3239 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Portofino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 220 Sands Point Rd | open |
| Portofino Restaurant and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2600 Harbourside Dr | open |
| Prime Source Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5390 Gulf Of Mexico Dr Ste 104 | open | |
| Shore Longboat Key | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 800 Broadway St | open |
| Sips | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 6830 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Solorzanos Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Chicken / wings | 5610 Gulf of Mexico Dr Unit 4 | open |
| The Old Salty Dog | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | Ken Thompson Parkway | open |
| The Tavern & Whiskey Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 220 Sands Point Rd | open |
| The Tavern And Whiskey Bar | Casual dining · Bar | American | open | |
| The Thirsty Snail | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 5610 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Turtle Coffee Bar | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3172 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| Tyler's Gourmet Ice Cream | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5350 Gulf of Mexico Dr Ste 103 | open | |
| Viento Kitchen & Bar - Zota Beach Resort | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 4711 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open | |
| Whitney's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 6990 Gulf of Mexico Dr | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 525 Bay Isles Pkwy | open |
| Cafe Don Giovanni | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5610 Gulf Of Mexico Dr Ste 5 | closed |
| Monkey Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1620 Gulf of Mexico Dr | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 15 | 15 | — | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 13 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 11 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 16 | 16 | 14 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 15 | 15 | 13 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 18 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 16 | 16 | 14 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 19 | 19 | 15 | — | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 18 | 18 | 14 | — | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 18 | 18 | 13 | — | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |