BMIE Market 34292

Sarasota County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,586 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,535 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,516 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,912 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,101 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,844 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	67.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,921 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$452,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,004 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34292
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+42.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 31–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34292. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.1	73	40%	+29.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.1	67	35%	+23.5
Market Momentum Score	71.3	71	25%	+17.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,586	79	40%	+31.7
Median household income (ACS)	80,101	62	40%	+24.9
Households (ACS)	8,535	83	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	35%	+27.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.1	46	25%	+11.4
Population (ACS)	17,586	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	80,101	62	20%	+12.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	30%	+23.5
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 9 · Burgers 5 · Asian 4 · Chinese 4 · Mexican 4 · Breakfast 3 · Japanese 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Sushi 3 · Bakery 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Quick service 12 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Dessert 3 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Allegro Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1740 E Venice Ave	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	19411 Times Circle	open
Big Olaf Ice Cream & Coffee Caffe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Hot dogs	1276 Jacaranda Blvd	open
Black Gold Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2385 E Venice Ave	open
Blackout Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	740 Commerce Dr	open
Blimpie Subs & Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	350 Commercial Ct	open
BrewBurgers	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	370 Commercial Ct	open
British Open Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	367 Jacaranda Blvd	open
Buffalo Bill's Brew B Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1262 Jacaranda Blvd	open
Busy Bee Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	900 Commerce Dr	open
China One China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1192 Jacaranda Blvd	open
China Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	329 Jacaranda Blvd	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1455 E Venice Ave	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American	445 Commercial Court I-75 & Jacaranda Blvd.	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	19355 Times Circle	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	1465 E Venice Ave	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	360 Commercial Ct	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2983 Executive Dr	open
ediblearrangementsvenice	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused			open
Firehouse Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1570 US41 Bypass	open
G Boys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Casual dining	Healthy / salads / bowls · American	321 Jacaranda Blvd	open
Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	350 Commercial Ct	open
Kumo Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1740 E Venice Ave Unit 1	open
Le Petit Jardin Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1500 E Venice Ave	open
Leone's Ristorante & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1266 Jacaranda Blvd	open
Localsfest	Bar	British / Irish pub food	367 Jacaranda Blvd	open
L’olive Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	1262 Jacaranda Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	325 Commercial Ct	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	480 N Venice By-Pass	open
Mon Ami Cafe a European and American Cafe Experience	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	1740 E Venice Ave	open
Mr. Greek's Gyros	Quick service		339 Commercial Ct	open
Original Word of Mouth Original Word of Mouth	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	1740 E Venice Ave	open
Paradise Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	22 Pinebrook	open
Peach's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1230 Jacaranda Blvd	open
Peach's Restaurant Peach's Restaurants	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1230 Jacaranda Blvd	open
Perkins at 1331 South 41 Bypass Venice, FL Perkins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1331 South 41 Bypass	open
Perkins Restaurant and Bakery Perkins American Food Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	American · Bakery	1331 US-41 BYP	open
Pings Chinese And Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	345 Commercial Ct	open
Red Grouper Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		345 Commercial Ct	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	19451 Times Cir	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	360 Commerce Ct	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	19431 Times Cir	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	430 Venice Bypass N	open
Taco Flaca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1262 Jacaranda Blvd	open
Tara Hospitality,inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1740 E Venice Ave	open
Tomatillo's Fresh Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	339 Commercial Ct	open
Wendy's	Quick service		2983 Executive Dr	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	345 Jacaranda Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1445 E Venice Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	24	21	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	24	20	16	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	30	25	19	6	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	29	26	20	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	32	30	25	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	32	28	23	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	28	25	19	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	24	22	17	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	23	20	14	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	20	18	13	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	18	16	10	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	15	9	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	18	9	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	21	13	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	21	13	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	21	21	12	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	25	25	15	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	23	22	15	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	22	13	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	25	24	14	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	25	14	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	25	14	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	26	12	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	27	13	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	32	29	14	14	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	30	13	14	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34292. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34293	4.8 mi	63	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.