BMIE Market 34473

Marion County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,813 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,036 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,112 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±597 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,029 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,632 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,366 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,649 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$265,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	35.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34473
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+533.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+850.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34473. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.7	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.8	75	35%	+26.2
Market Momentum Score	63.2	63	25%	+15.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,813	87	40%	+34.6
Median household income (ACS)	72,366	51	40%	+20.3
Households (ACS)	9,112	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	35%	+26.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.1	84	25%	+21.0
Population (ACS)	26,813	87	20%	+17.3
Median household income (ACS)	72,366	51	20%	+10.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	533.3	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

American 9 · Caribbean 6 · Bakery 5 · Pizza 5 · Coffee 4 · Cuban 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Peruvian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 6 · Food truck 6 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Other 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Bar 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
484 New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1665 Sw Highway 484 Ste 102	open
Alkimia Coffee House & Roaster LLC	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3148 148th Place Rd	open
Andrew And Sara Brooks	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2559 SW Highway 484	open
Artesanos 100x35 Puerto Rican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	119 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	2240 SW Hwy 484	open
Calabash Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	2160 SW Hwy 484	open
CHINA HOUSE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	184 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	2020 SW Highway 484	open
Cinnabon	Other	Sandwiches	2020 SW Highway 484	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	13561 SW 17th Ct. I-75 & State Route 484	open
Delicias Boricuas	Bakery	Bakery	119 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Diddy's Caribbean Mart	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	166 Marion Oaks Blvd Ste 4	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	261 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Flourish Farmstand & bakery	Bakery	Bakery	12941 SW 73rd Ave Rd	open
FlowPR FoodTruck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		168 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Golda's Place Food Truck Ocala	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	187 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Hazelnut Cafe, Llc	Other	Sandwiches	166 Marion Oaks Blvd Ste 7	open
Heavenly Delights by Alaina	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	15166 SW 48th Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13545 SW 17th Ct	open
La Barrandilla Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
La Finkita del Maiz Food Truck	Food truck	Cuban · Latin American (other)	289 Marion Oaks Ln	open
Marcos Food LLC	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban	3171 SW 143 Place Rd	open
Marion Fundamentals	Café		2123 SW Highway 484	open
Marion Oaks Roti Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	184 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	2095 Sw 484	open
Mi Tierra Latina Mexican & Peruvian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Peruvian · Mexican	2105 SW Hwy 484	open
Mic's 19th Hole Pub	Bar		166 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Micheal baking	Bakery	Bakery	8278 SW 128th Loop	open
No.1 New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	184 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Ocala Coffee LLC Baskin-Robbins	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	1655 SW Highway 484	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	166 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2175 SW Highway 484	open
Primohoagies - Coming Soon	Other	Sandwiches	128 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Salsa Boricua Food Truck	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	166 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
ShiftFlow Hospitality, LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17511 SW 17th Cir	open
Sips by JJ	Coffee shop	Coffee	3148 SW 148th Place Rd	open
Smackin Food Truck	Food truck		Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Sonny's BBQ Sonny's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1794 County Hwy 484	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2019 SW Highway 484	open
Sweet Treets Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	184 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	13545 S.W. 17th Court	open
Tavern at The Glen	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1450 SW 154th Street Rd	open
The Coco Hotdog	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		130 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Tom's Cuban On The Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	1800 SW Hwy 484	open
Tuscany Restaurant And Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1450 SW 154th Street Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	2065 SW CR-484	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2020 Sw 135th St.	open
Yera's pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Pizza · Caribbean	119 Marion Oaks Blvd	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	13451 Sw 17Th Ct	open
Flores Latin Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	184 Marion Oaks Blvd Ste M	closed
Tcl Ventures Pa Dba Central Fl Ins Of Marion Oaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 Marion Oaks Blvd Ste E	closed
Wally's Fish N Chips	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	184 Marion Oaks Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	4	2	1	—	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	5	3	2	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	7	4	1	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	4	2	—	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	5	3	1	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	9	6	2	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	7	5	3	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	8	6	6	—	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	6	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	9	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	9	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	15	9	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	7	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	7	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	9	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	19	18	8	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	19	9	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	21	9	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	19	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	19	10	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	19	9	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	19	9	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34473. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.