BMIE Market 34476

Marion County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,997 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,705 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,862 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,430 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,860 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,779 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,559 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±522 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$282,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34476
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+140.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+71.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 12–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.41) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34476. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.41, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.5	69	40%	+27.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.9	68	35%	+23.8
Market Momentum Score	41.5	41	25%	+10.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,997	88	40%	+35.3
Median household income (ACS)	65,860	40	40%	+16.1
Households (ACS)	12,705	90	20%	+18.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.1	94	25%	+23.6
Population (ACS)	28,997	88	20%	+17.6
Median household income (ACS)	65,860	40	20%	+8.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-14.3	16	50%	+7.9
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	140	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · Caribbean 1 · Cuban 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 7 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Azul Tequila	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7859 SW State Rd 200 Unit 105. W	open
Big City Pizza	Food truck	Pizza · Italian	SW 95th ST RD	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9570 SW 62nd Ave	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	9570 SW 62nd Avenue Rd., Suite 600	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7801 Southwest Hwy 200	open
Cracker Barrel Belleview	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		13561 SW 107th St	open
Ellianos Coffee Ellianos Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7682 SW State Rd 200	open
Flowers Baking Co Flowers' discount Bakery Store	Bakery	Bakery	6285 SW State Rd 200	open
Foody Bowl Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian	9570 SW 62nd Ave	open
Giggles Gourmet Popcorn Company	Dessert		6124 SW State Rd 200 Ste 2	open
Gyro Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek	6160 SW State Rd 200	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6155 SW Highway 200	open
Hiatus Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		6230 SW Highway 200	open
Ice Cream King	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9570 SW 62 Ave Rd #400	open
J&J Seafood of Ocala	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5428 SW 89th St	open
La Dolce Vita Gelato & Pastry	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	6146 SW State Rd 200	open
La fondita de titi felita	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	7743 SW State Rd 200	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	9445 SW 49th Ave	open
Leilany’s Flavor Fusion	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	7280 SW Highway 200	open
Los Alacranes Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9020 SW 27th Ave	open
Mama B's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	7651 SW State Rd 200	open
Mary's Cuban Kitchen	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Bakery	6160 SW State Rd 200 suite 107	open
Nowhere B@r	Bar		8970 SW 27th Ave	open
Oak Room Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11220 SW 69th Cir	open
Oasis Cafe Jdk Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7651 Sw Highway 200 # Units	open
Our Place Saloon	Bar		7651 SW Highway 200	open
Petra Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	4850 SW 100th St	open
Raise The Roost	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9445 SW 49th Ave	open
Ross S United Grills	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		9015 SW 31st Avenue Rd	open
Sammy's Italian Restaurant and Pizza &pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	6106 SW State Rd 200	open
Smalls Sliders Smalls Sliders	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	7648 SW Highway 200	open
Sneak-e-Snacks	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7070 SW 65th Ave	open
So Yummy BBQ & GRILL	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	7500 SW State Rd 200	open
Southern Pig & Cattle Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	BBQ · Steakhouse · Healthy / salads / bowls · American	6105 SW Highway 200	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7819 SW State Rd 200	open
Super Scoops Icecream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs · Burgers	9020 SW 27th Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7919 SW Highway 200	open
Takonmadre Authentic mexican food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7763 SW State Rd 200	open
Talentbey	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5709 SW 90th Ln	open
Taste of Asia	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	4200 SW 103rd St Rd	open
Thai To go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	9020 SW 27th Ave	open
Twistee Treat Ocala 2 Twistee Treat USA	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7907 SW State Rd 200	open
Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	7660 SW HWY 200	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	—	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	—	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	4	—	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	7	5	—	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	6	3	1	—	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	3	1	—	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	3	2	—	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	2	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	6	3	1	1	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	6	3	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	8	6	1	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	10	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	13	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	13	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	12	5	4	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34476. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34474	4.6 mi	85	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.