BMIE Market 34481

Marion County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,782 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,340 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,033 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±692 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,536 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,618 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,324 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,700 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	68.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,236 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$256,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	69.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34481
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+68.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+540.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+966.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 33–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34481. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.1	63	40%	+25.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.3	69	35%	+24.2
Market Momentum Score	87.3	87	25%	+21.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,782	87	40%	+34.6
Median household income (ACS)	57,324	25	40%	+10.1
Households (ACS)	14,033	92	20%	+18.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	68.4	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.0	65	25%	+16.2
Population (ACS)	26,782	87	20%	+17.3
Median household income (ACS)	57,324	25	20%	+5.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28	82	50%	+41.2
10-year restaurant growth	68.4	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	540	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

American 15 · Asian 6 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 5 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 12 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Food truck 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Akita Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	8075 SW State Rd 200	open
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Casual dining	American	11100 SW 93rd Ct Rd Ste 12	open
Bieke's Bistro Cuisine	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Burgers	8260 SW Highway 200	open
Bob Evans Bob Evans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	11300 Sw 95th Cir	open
Breakfast Station Breakfast Station Beverly Hills	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	8585 SW State Rd 200	open
Caribbean's Finest	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Caribbean	8260 SW Highway 200	open
Carmine's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Coffee	8810 SW Highway 200	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11290 SW. 93rd Court Road	open
China King China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9590 SW State Rd 200	open
China Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8075 SW State Rd 200	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	8440 SW Highway 200	open
Cody's Original Roadhouse Cody's Original Roadhouse - Lake Sumter Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse · BBQ	8169 SW State Rd 200	open
Darrell's Dog Gone Good Diner	Casual dining	American	11175 SW 93rd Court Rd	open
Darrell's Dog Gone Good Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8441 SW Highway 200	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	9590 Sw Hwy 200 Unit 5	open
Duffy's Pub	Bar		16620 W Highway 40	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	8121 SW Highway 200	open
El Mezcal Mexican Restaurant Ocala El Mezcal Mexican Restaurant Ocala	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8449 SW State Rd 200 #147-149	open
Fish Hawk Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		16350 SW 20th Ln	open
Five Guys	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9548 SW Highway 200 Unit 3	open
Hibachi 4U	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	9548 SW State Rd 200	open
Honeypot farm stand	Bakery	Bakery	5705 SW 136th Ave	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11100 SW 93rd Court	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	11100 SW 93rd Ct Rd	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11290 SW. 93rd Court Road	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	9121 SW State Rd 200 4 Ste 4	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	8075 SW State Rd 200 Ste 121	open
Kneadful Roots Farmstand	Bakery	Bakery	15982 SW 30th Ln	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8955 SW Highway 200	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	9548 SW State Rd 200 #1	open
Little Joey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8602 SW State Rd 200	open
Marcelina's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	8810 SW Highway 200	open
Mason Jar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8441 SW Highway 200	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	8240 Sr 200	open
Michelle's Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		8260 SW Highway 200	open
Mr B's Big Scoop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8399 SW 80th St	open
Ocala W. Beef O'Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11100 SW 93rd Court Rd Ste 12	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	8585 SW State Rd 200 Ste 211	open
Papa Lab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	8260 SW State Rd 200	open
Piesanos Piesanos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8075 SW State Rd 200	open
Piesanos Stone Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8075 SW Hwy 200 Canopy Oak Plaza # 101	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8449 SW State Rd 200 #133 #133	open
Rally's	Quick service		8585 SW Highway 200	open
Rice & Noodles Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	11175 SW 93rd Ct Rd	open
Roz's Cigar Emporium	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8585 State 200 Unit 16	open
Scoops Ice Cream Parlor Inc	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8602 SW State Rd 200 C	open
Shang Hai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8585 SW Highway 200	open
Sid's Coffee Shop & Deli	Coffee shop · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	8415 SW 80th St	open
Stone Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6320 SW 89th Court Rd	open
Stone Creek Golf Club Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		9676 SW 62nd Lp	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8664 SW 103rd Street Rd	open
Swampy's Dunnellon fl	Bar	American · Seafood		open
Sweet Potatoes	Café	Coffee	8075 SW Highway 200	open
The Pub	Bar		9125 SW 98th St	open
The Whistling Duck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8139 SW 90th Terrace Rd	open
Tom’s Burgers Shakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Lobos	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	8410 SW State Rd 200	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	9570 SW Highway 200	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	8470 Southwest Hwy 200	open
Wok N Roll II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8602 SW Highway 200	open
Tiki Island Yogurt	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	11100 Sw 93rd Court Rd Ste 2	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	5	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	16	6	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	19	17	5	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	18	7	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	15	7	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	15	7	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	19	10	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	18	9	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	22	22	9	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	23	22	10	10	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	26	25	8	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	25	8	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	25	8	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	28	7	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	23	6	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	34	15	15	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	32	14	14	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34481. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.