BMIE Market 34607

Hernando County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,496 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,031 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,081 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,133 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,032 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,422 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,816 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	55.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,373 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±108 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$398,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,163 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	63.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34607
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-27.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+62.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34607. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.8	59	40%	+23.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.2	58	35%	+20.4
Market Momentum Score	53.3	53	25%	+13.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,496	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	66,422	41	40%	+16.5
Households (ACS)	4,081	71	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.7	58	25%	+14.4
Population (ACS)	9,496	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	66,422	41	20%	+8.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	-27.8	10	20%	+2.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

American 9 · Seafood 8 · Sandwiches 4 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 10 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bayport Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	4835 Cortez Blvd	open
Beckyjack's Food Shack	Casual dining	American	8070 Cortez Blvd	open
Brian's Place	Bar	Spanish / tapas · Italian	3430 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	1485 Commercial Way	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	1485 Commercial Way	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	370 Suzanne Dr	open
Hernando Beach Gourmet Deli, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3430 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Hernando Beach Java & Kava	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	4090 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Hernando Beach Tropical Grille	Bar	Seafood · American	4139 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Icy Mermaid	Dessert		8057 Cortez Blvd	open
iRon’s Dock ‘n Deck	Bar		3381 Oleander Dr	open
Jabo's Bbq And Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4307 Calienta St	open
La Bella Napoli Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	7390 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Leslie's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	3306 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Matoli's Pizza & Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	3211 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Mr. Hot Pot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5399 Commercial Way	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	1403 Commercial Way	open
Peck's Old Port Cove Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	6027 Cortez Blvd	open
Portofino Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7386 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Riverside Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Seafood · Coffee	7224 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Silver Dolphin Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4036 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Smoking Good Barbecue and Catering Services	Catering	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8057 Cortez Blvd	open
TailGators	Casual dining · Bar		8129 Cortez Blvd	open
The Beach Bar	Bar		3412 Shoal Line Blvd	open
The Boat Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3192 Shoal Line Blvd	open
The Drunken Mullet	Casual dining · Bar		3306 Shoal Line Blvd	open
The Lazy Lizard	Casual dining · Bar		3192 Shoal Line Blvd	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1445 Wendy Court	open
The Waterfront Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3305 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Trader Bay Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4006 Shoal Line Blvd	open
Tropical Grill Tiki Hut	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food		open
Upper deck	Bar · Casual dining · Café	Coffee	7179 Algonquin St	open
Upper Deck Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	5386 Darlene St	open
Weeki Pub	Bar		8070 Cortez Blvd	open
Zigzag Scallop Waterside Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4417 Calienta St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	16	14	8	5	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	18	16	9	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	16	13	9	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	13	10	6	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	9	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	11	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	19	15	8	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	18	16	8	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	18	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	16	14	7	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	9	4	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	6	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	7	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	6	5	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	14	12	8	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	7	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	8	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	11	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	11	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	12	10	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	13	9	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34607. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.