BMIE Market 34639

Pasco County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,831 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,004 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,612 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±652 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,092 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,236 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$101,486 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,662 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,040 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$383,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34639
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+87.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+172.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	34 (range 28–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.55) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34639. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.55, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.8	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.5	78	35%	+27.1
Market Momentum Score	71.5	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,831	89	40%	+35.8
Median household income (ACS)	101,486	82	40%	+32.7
Households (ACS)	10,612	87	20%	+17.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30.4	71	35%	+25.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.7	73	25%	+18.3
Population (ACS)	30,831	89	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	101,486	82	20%	+16.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.1	69	50%	+34.5
10-year restaurant growth	30.4	71	30%	+21.4
20-year restaurant growth	87.5	79	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 8 · Asian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · Brazilian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Bar 11 · Quick service 10 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Casual dining 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
ABC Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Greek	4005 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Aroma Joe's Coffee House and Drive Thru Aroma Joe's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3939 Land O' Lakes Blvd	open
Babe Coffee Lounge	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	5132 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Benedetto's Farm Products Private Catered Events	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	TBA	open
Bob's Kitchen	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	Land O' Lakes , 34639, United States	open
Bom Dia Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Brazilian	2412 Raden Dr	open
Breakfast Station Breakfast Station Beverly Hills	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	21519 Village Lakes Shopping Center Dr	open
Brian's Lakeside Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	25180 Maren Way	open
Cachucha & Swine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	21300 Coakley Ln	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican · Sandwiches	22629 State Road 54	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2143 Collier Pkwy	open
Corner’s Coffee and Creamery	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	21539 Village Lakes Shopping Dr	open
Crazy burrito authentic Mexican grill viii	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4109 Land O' Lakes Blvd	open
Doble Gustazo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	4409 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Doble Gustazo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	4533 Savanah Way	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Quick service		22427 State Road 54	open
Eurotaste Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2412 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Florida Estates Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		25241 State Road 52	open
Ginza Sushi @ Collier PKWY	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2215 Collier Pkwy	open
Greenland Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	2205 Collier Pkwy	open
H&h Hospitality, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4805 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Hungry Harry's Famous Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3116 Land O' Lakes Blvd	open
In the Loop Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3338 Land O' Lakes Blvd	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	22629 State Road 54	open
Jarro Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	4710 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2081 Collier Pkwy	open
JJ’s Grill & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	3852 Grand Forks Dr	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	21617 Village Lakes Shopping Center	open
Koko Dre's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		4109 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Lake Padgett Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4533 Savanah Way	open
Larry's Deli Land O Lakes	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	4526 Land O' Lakes Blvd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2099 Collier Pkwy	open
Marble Slab Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2205 Collier Pkwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2420 Land Olakes Blvd	open
Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	2087 Collier Pkwy	open
Mulligans Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	23253 Plantation Palms Blvd	open
NY Times Square Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21609 Village Lakes Shopping Ctr Dr	open
Paco's Pinchos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	21301 Coakley Ln	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2434 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Papas’ Cuban Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	2700 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Pizza Villa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21501 Village Lakes Shopping Ctr Dr	open
Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2209 Collier Pkwy	open
Sam's New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21609 Village Lakes Shopping Center Dr	open
Shanes Rib Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2081 Collier Pkwy	open
Shay’s Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4533 Savanah Way	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2235 Collier Parkway	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	22721 FL-54	open
Stonewater Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4422 Land O' Lakes Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2406 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Taco de oro Cuatro Taco De Oro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3919 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
The Millennium Falcon	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian		open
Tiki Cove	Bar		2700 Land O' Lakes Blvd	open
Tonka's Taphouse Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		Lake Padgett Estates East	open
Ukukele	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Ukulele Brands	Casual dining · Bar	American · Seafood	4805 Land O' Lakes Blvd	open
Uptown Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21609 Village Lakes Shopping Ctr Dr	open
Verena Gyro & Grill & Sub	Café	Coffee	4109 Land O Lakes Blvd	open
Village Inn Village Inn Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	22601 State Road 54	open
Wde Restaurant Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21609 Village Lakes Shopping Center Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2328 Raden Drive	open
World of Beer	Bar		2081 Collier Pkwy	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2121 Collier Pkwy	open
Healthy & Fresco	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21539 Village Lakes Shopping Center Dr	closed
Imperial Buffet	Buffet		21627 Village Lakes Shopping Ctr Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	16	13	7	6	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	14	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	7	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	16	10	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	20	17	10	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	23	20	9	9	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	25	22	11	9	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	28	26	11	12	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	27	25	14	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	23	22	11	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	22	21	14	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	23	22	14	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	22	22	14	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	23	15	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	21	15	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	20	12	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	21	12	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	23	23	12	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	27	14	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	29	13	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	33	14	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	26	11	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	26	12	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	30	12	15	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34639. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33544	3.4 mi	85	2023
34637	3.9 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.