BMIE Market 34685
Pinellas County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 18,132 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,405 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±502 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,286 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,959 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $94,688 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 48.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,990 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±164 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $518,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,057 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34685 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -23.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -11.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +15.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +130.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 23 (range 17–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34685. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.8 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52.9 | 53 | 35% | +18.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 19.7 | 20 | 25% | +4.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 18,132 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 94,688 | 77 | 40% | +30.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,405 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.5 | 17 | 35% | +6.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.7 | 62 | 25% | +15.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 18,132 | 80 | 20% | +15.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 94,688 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -23.3 | 12 | 50% | +5.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.5 | 17 | 30% | +5.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 15 | 42 | 20% | +8.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (61)
By cuisine
American 9 · Pizza 9 · Bakery 7 · Coffee 6 · Asian 5 · Dessert 5 · Japanese 5 · Burgers 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Chinese 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 8 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Fast casual 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Casual dining 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarit Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 328 East Lake Rd | open |
| Apps and Tapps Sports Bar and Grill | Bar | American | 36221 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Because Of Carol Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3434 E Lake Rd Ste 1 | open | |
| Beef 'O' Brady's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1100 Tarpon Woods Blvd | open |
| Beef 'O' Brady's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | open | |
| Bravo NY Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 764 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Burger Monger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 3460 E Lake Rd S | open |
| China Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 658 E Lake Rd | open |
| China Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 36115 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Clear Sky Club Haus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 36355 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Crumbl - Palm Harbor | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 798 E Lake Rd S Ste 54 | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2657 E. Lake Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2663 E Lake Rd S | open |
| East Lake Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast | 3430 E Lake Rd | open |
| East Lake Food Enterprises Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 300 E Lake Rd | open | |
| East Lake Varsity Club | Bar | 36355 E Lake Rd | open | |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Express | Bakery | Bakery | 4840 Ridgemoor Blvd | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3434 East Lake Rd | open |
| Firehouse Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3434 East Lake Rd. | open | |
| Fish Bowl Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 654 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 300 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Freshii | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 654 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Gourmet Cafes And Bistros Unlimited Inc Dba East Lake Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3430 E Lake Rd Ste 3 | open | |
| HeFun Asian Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 4952 Ridgemoor Blvd | open |
| Hmcc Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 36181 E Lake Rd PMB 377 | open | |
| Jan Stephenson's Legends Bar and Grill at Tarpon Woods Golf Club Legends Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 1100 Tarpon Woods Blvd | open |
| Juan's Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4938 Ridgemoor Blvd | open |
| Kiku Japanese Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 36221 E Lake Rd | open |
| Lagerhaus Brewery | Bar | 3438 East Lake Road S | open | |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 764 E Lake Rd | open |
| Little Greek Restaurant Little Greek Fresh Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 320 E Lake Rd | open |
| Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2657 E Lake Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3480 E Lake Rd | open |
| Menchie's Frozen Yogurt Menchie's Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 794 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Mimic Properties Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3438 E Lake Rd | open | |
| Mixers Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 3430 E Lake Rd | open | |
| Nesting Grounds Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast | 4852 Ridgemoor Blvd | open |
| NY PIZZA EASTLAKE | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2525 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Palm Harbor Crumblers | Bakery | Bakery | 798 E Lake Rd | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3438 e lake rd | open |
| Pupcakes Etc | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3438 E Lake Rd | open |
| Raining Berries - Palm Harbor Raining Berries | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 770 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Sakura Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 3438 E Lake Rd S #16 | open |
| San's Pizzeria, The Original San | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4842 Ridgemoor Blvd | open |
| Sip Code Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4940 Ridgemoor Blvd | open | |
| Sip85 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 4940 Ridgemoor Blvd | open |
| Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 4956 Ridgemoor Blvd | open |
| SoFresh - Healthy Salads, Wraps & Bowls SoFresh | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 326 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4978 Ridgemoor Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 900 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 36169 E Lake Rd S Unit #9 | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service | 4890 Ridgemoor Blvd | open | |
| Takee Outee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3408 E Lake Rd | open |
| The Sweet Spot | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 4956 Ridgemoor Blvd | open |
| Vetture's Pizzeria and Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 36137 East Lake Rd | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3400 E Lake Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 750 East Lake Road | open |
| Westshore Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4840 Ridgemoor Blvd Ste B | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 500 East Lake Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 36301 E Lake Rd S | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 312 E Lake Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 15 | 15 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 9 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 26 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 24 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 30 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 17 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 31 | 29 | 10 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 31 | 30 | 10 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 35 | 12 | 20 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 29 | 28 | 10 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 29 | 9 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 25 | 23 | 9 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |