BMIE Market 34736

Lake County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,555 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,206 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,961 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,614 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,545 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,706 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,679 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$357,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,788 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	115.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34736
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+185.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,900.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 20–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34736. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.6	82	40%	+32.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83.8	84	35%	+29.3
Market Momentum Score	86.9	87	25%	+21.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,001	87	40%	+35.0
Median household income (ACS)	90,545	74	40%	+29.5
Households (ACS)	10,206	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.1	84	25%	+21.0
Population (ACS)	28,001	87	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	90,545	74	20%	+14.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	33.3	85	50%	+42.5
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	185.7	91	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (68)

By cuisine

American 13 · Latin American (other) 9 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Bakery 4 · BBQ 4 · Burgers 4 · Caribbean 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Sushi 2 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Quick service 13 · Casual dining 7 · Food truck 7 · Bakery 6 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 5 · Café 3 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All Aboard Shrimp Shack Seafood Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	20915 US-27	open
Barrels and Boards	Bar		7965 FL-50 A500	open
Bella Pizza	Quick service	Pizza	113 Cabrillo Dr	open
Bori Dog's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	322 W Broad St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7989 FL-50	open
Caribbean Zest & Bar	Casual dining · Bar		139 E Broad St	open
Cayden's Island Cuisine	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1050 E Broad St	open
China Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7985 State Road 50 #300	open
Coyote Rojo	Restaurant (service type not stated)		214 W Broad St	open
Dawg Howze hot dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	139 E Broad St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1200 West Broad Street Suite A	open
Domino's Distribution Center Domino's Republica Dominicana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Pizza	7600 American Way	open
Donna’s Real Pit Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	103 Taylor Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee	7901 SR 50	open
Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	20100 Independence Blvd	open
El Rincón Familiar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	338 W Orange St	open
Golden Hills Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1510 Max Hooks Rd	open
Gonzalez Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Mexican	1210 W Broad St	open
Graham boys bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7352 FL-50	open
Green Pea Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	304 E Broad St	open
Groveland Donuts, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7901 State Road 50	open
Groveland Food Truck Park	Food truck		338 W Orange St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	266 W Broad St	open
Ikaho Sushi Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7965 FL-50	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	14405 Monte Vista Road	open
Krispys Fried Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	307 E Broad St	open
Kurosumi Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1504 Max Hooks Rd	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1021 W Broad St	open
Las Comadres LLC	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	642 W Broad St	open
Lingo's Fish & Loaves Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	117 N Main Ave	open
Los Oaxarochos Panadería y Taquería	Food truck		1210 W Broad St	open
Los Pueblos Latin Quarter Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Latin American (other)	1510 Max Hooks Rd	open
Mahons Real BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	247 W Broad St	open
Mamma Rita's Pizzeria & Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	7965 FL-50	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1175 W Broad St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	460 W Broad St	open
Michell’s Tropical Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	101 E Broad St	open
Nikkita's Empanadas, Arepas & more/Las Empanadas & Arepas de Nikkita y mas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Caribbean	338 W Orange St	open
Nin's 5 Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	19961 Independence Blvd	open
Paleteria Y Tortilleria Jalisco	Casual dining	Mexican · Latin American (other) · American	119 E Broad St	open
Papi Pincho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	133 E Orange St	open
Perurican Ceviche	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	338 W Orange St	open
PeruRican Ceviche	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	338 W Orange St Ste I	open
Pinnacle Jerk	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1050 E Broad St	open
Pita Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	7414 FL-50	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14405 Montevista Rd Lake	open
REd lion	Bar		139 E Broad St	open
Red Wing Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	12500 FL-33	open
Reggae Cafe	Café	Coffee · Caribbean	302 W Orange St	open
Simple Eats & Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	132 W Broad St	open
Slap The Apple Memphis Style Bbq	Food truck		20915 US Highway 27	open
Slap Yo Momma Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	305 1st Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8404 FL-50	open
Subway	Quick service		580 W Broad St	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7965 State Road 50, Unit A100	open
Sweet vs Sinful	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1128 Peregrine St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7763 State Road 50	open
Tacos de Don Ramon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7048 State Road 50	open
taylorseafoodandmore	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1050 E Broad St	open
The Butcher Block Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	262 E Orange St	open
The Flava Joint SG	Food truck · Catering	Cajun, Creole, Southern	1050 E Broad St	open
The Grille	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	100 Falling Acorn Ave	open
The Yellow Fly	Bar		Groveland St, Groveland, FL 34736, United States	open
Very Simple Vegan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	1504 Max Hooks Rd Ste I	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7753 State Road 50	open
Yummylicious Treats	Bakery	Bakery	1516 Max Hooks Rd Ste A	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	7975 FL-50	open
Cucina Bella International Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		651 Gadson St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	2	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	11	4	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	15	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	18	5	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	26	20	6	10	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34736. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34753	2.7 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.