BMIE Market 34771

Osceola County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,257 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,466 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,565 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±734 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,280 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,813 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,415 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,314 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,822 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±317 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$454,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	155.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34771
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+420.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 23–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	90 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	98 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34771. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.1	86	40%	+34.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89.8	90	35%	+31.4
Market Momentum Score	97.9	98	25%	+24.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,257	92	40%	+36.7
Median household income (ACS)	97,415	79	40%	+31.7
Households (ACS)	11,565	88	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	420	100	35%	+34.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.4	83	25%	+20.7
Population (ACS)	35,257	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	97,415	79	20%	+15.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 98 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+48.0
10-year restaurant growth	420	100	30%	+29.9
20-year restaurant growth	1,200	100	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

Pizza 10 · Bakery 8 · Coffee 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 8 · Dessert 7 · Italian 5 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · American 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Dessert 12 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 8 · Café 6 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Casual dining 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A-1 Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1561 E 192	open
Acai N7 Palette	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	1481 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Athena Donuts, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1421 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Bagels & Sandwiches To Go	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	1370 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Bella Roma Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1366 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Cakes Pastries & More	Bakery	Bakery	5125 Tiber Way	open
Chill Pop Lounge	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	863 N Narcoossee Rd	open
China Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1961 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Cid Deli Florida	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1710 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Cookies & Cream	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	4857 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Cozy Cove	Bar · Casual dining · Café	Coffee	2150 Barbara Dr	open
Custom Creationz	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	N Narcoossee Rd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	1175 N Narcoossee Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1005 N. Narcoossee Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1421 S Narcoossee Rd	open
East King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4867 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Ellianos Coffee Ellianos Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4940 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Emilios Italian Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2475 N Narcoossee Rd	open
Florida Burger & Coffee	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Burgers · Latin American (other)	1710 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Froz - N7	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1481 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Hanava Boba Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1511 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Hot Mex Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1370 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4970 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2867 N Narcoossee Rd	open
Juice Mart	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	8860 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	2481 N Narcoossee Rd	open
Little Red's Pie Bike	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6281 Bass Hwy	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4960 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Highway Ste 192	open
Meat n Fire	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1925 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Mike Wholesale Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2013 Murcott Dr Unit E	open
Mizu Sushi and Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	2863 N Narcoossee Rd	open
Not A Clue Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		5790 Alligator Lake Shr W	open
Out Back Kitchen & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3251 Majestic Oak Dr	open
Pachy Pinchos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other) · BBQ	2475 N Narcoossee Rd	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4849 E IRLO BRONSON MEMORIAL Highway	open
Papasan's Vietnamese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1358 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Pete’s kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1425 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1385 North Narcoossee Road	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1939 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Private Island Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert		open
Rolled Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1348 S Narcoossee Rd	open
Sacred Grounds Coffee Orlando	Coffee shop	Coffee	5000 Jack Brack Rd	open
Santa Mozzarella Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	4863 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Smitty’s Bar-b-q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	8860 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1460 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4877 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service		1375 N Narcoossee Rd.	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4899 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
The Cake Cottage	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1360 S Narcoossee Rd	open
The Health Nuts	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	6891 Old Melbourne Hwy	open
thebellaromapizza	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	4863 E Irlo Bronson Memorial Hwy	open
Toms Boom Boom Room	Bar		Nail Lounge & Spa, 1001 N Narcoossee Rd	open
Velvet Sweets Orlando	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	2333 Avellino Ave	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2895 N Narcoossee Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	3	—	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	5	4	1	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	4	1	3	—	4	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	7	5	1	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	10	6	2	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	12	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	19	6	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	26	7	14	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34771. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.