BMIE Market 34772

Osceola County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,390 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,784 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±748 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,770 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,498 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,868 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,089 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,016 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$390,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,259 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	86.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34772
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+650.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34772. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.3	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86.6	87	35%	+30.3
Market Momentum Score	87.7	88	25%	+21.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,390	92	40%	+36.7
Median household income (ACS)	97,868	80	40%	+31.8
Households (ACS)	11,784	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.2	94	25%	+23.5
Population (ACS)	35,390	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	97,868	80	20%	+15.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	36.4	87	50%	+43.3
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	650	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

Pizza 8 · American 6 · Italian 5 · Coffee 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Quick service 9 · Bar 7 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bain-Marie Cake & Cookie Studio	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	5040 Bessie Ct	open
BannaStrow's Crepes and Coffee	Café	Coffee	Canoe Creek Service Plaza	open
Bella Roma Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3302 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Buffalo Wings & Rings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Chicken / wings	2903-2913 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Charlie Slap the apple	Food truck	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4634 Deer Run Rd	open
Chicken Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	Florida's Turnpike Mile Post 229	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3358 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		2000 Nolte Road	open
Countryside living AT Pearl Lake Farms	Bakery	Bakery	6100 Hickory Tree Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	2435 Old Canoe Creek Rd	open
Fat Boys Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4275 Deer Run Rd	open
Garage Bar	Bar		1031 Chamberlin Trl	open
Hadley Ranch	Bar	American · Pizza	3844 Kaiser Ave	open
Joy Japan Sushi & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2215 Nolte Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2200 Old Canoe Creek Rd	open
Marco Polo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3364 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2305 Old Canoe Creek Road	open
Max's bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3535 Rambler Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3344 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Murphy's Manor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4310 Deer Run Rd, St Cloud, FL 34772	open
NY Bagel & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2907 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Pizzaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2175 Nolte Rd	open
Pizzeria Ferrante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2907 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Plum Tree	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3306 Canoe Creek Rd Unit F	open
Southern Sofrito	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	3155 Wauseon Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	3345 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Stone Bridge Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5330 Michigan Ave	open
Stone Creek Tavern	Bar		3049 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3360 Canoe Creek Rd Bldg. B	open
The Chamorro Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Deer Creek Blvd	open
Vanessa's Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3350 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Velma's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	4312 Deer Run Rd	open
Villa Italian Kitchen VRG Brands	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	229 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Vincenzo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2907 Canoe Creek Road St. Cloud FL 34772	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2125 Nolte Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2300 Old Canoe Creek Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	Florida's Tpke Milepost 229	open
WOJO'S BAR & GRILL	Casual dining · Bar		3310 Canoe Creek Rd	open
Wojos bar and grill	Bar			open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3372 Canoe Creek Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	15	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34772. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.