BMIE Market 34785

Sumter County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,568 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,317 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,978 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±743 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,406 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,913 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,136 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,552 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	52.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±168 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$387,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43,558 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	64.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34785
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+82.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+281.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	43 (range 36–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34785. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.6	66	40%	+26.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65.5	66	35%	+22.9
Market Momentum Score	92.8	93	25%	+23.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,568	83	40%	+33.1
Median household income (ACS)	66,136	41	40%	+16.3
Households (ACS)	7,978	81	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	82.6	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.5	39	25%	+9.6
Population (ACS)	21,568	83	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	66,136	41	20%	+8.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	75	94	50%	+46.9
10-year restaurant growth	82.6	89	30%	+26.8
20-year restaurant growth	281.8	96	20%	+19.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (112)

By cuisine

American 24 · Coffee 18 · Pizza 11 · Burgers 10 · Dessert 9 · Sandwiches 8 · Bakery 7 · Breakfast 6 · Chicken / wings 6 · Italian 6 · Mexican 6 · BBQ 5 · Seafood 4 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Quick service 33 · Coffee shop 12 · Dessert 12 · Café 11 · Bakery 10 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 9 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&B Chicken and More	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	882 E State Road 44	open
Arby's	Quick service		4922 CR 466 A	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service		4922 CR 466-A	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches	4922 C 466-A	open
Beef 'O' Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	804 S Main St	open
Black Market Baked Goods	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	882 E State Road 44	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	1001 S Main St	open
Brazilian Acai & Coxinhas	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	American · Coffee	107 Huey St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5845 Seven Mile Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service		5845 Seven Mile Drive	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	832 E State Road 44	open
Casa Agave Mexican Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	840 S Main St	open
China Jade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	420 W Gulf Atlantic Hwy	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6010 Signature Dr	open
City Fire At Brownwood	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Coney Island Wildwood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		610 N Main St	open
Continental Country Club Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		75 Continental Blvd	open
Cotillion Southern Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	4424 NE 83rd Rd	open
Crumbl Crumbl	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5546 Seven Mile Dr #101	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5327 Sundance Trl	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7993 NE 7th Dr	open
Dani’s Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		369 FL-44	open
Darrell’s Dog Gone Good Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	8727 N US Highway 301	open
Denny's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	868 E State Road 44	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1220 S Main St	open
Donnie's Local Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	101 N Main St	open
Doodle Dawgs	Food truck		2 Bobcat Trl	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		838 E State Road 44	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	Florida Turnpike MM 299 Okahumpka Travel Plaza	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		710 Kristine Way	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	3418 Warm Springs Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	838 E State Road 44	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	299 Okahumpka Travel Plz	open
Ednas' on the Green	Bar		5227 Marsh Bend Trl	open
El Patrón Del Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	4393 County Road 134	open
First Watch First Watch	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	5833 Seven Mile Drive	open
Flippers Pizzeria Flippers Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2959 Traverse Trl	open
Foxtail Coffee Foxtail Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	2204 Everglades Ln.	open
God's Country	Café			open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	549 State Highway 44	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		404 S Main St	open
Hicks Pizza Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		701 S Main St	open
Honor Grounds Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	104 Wonders St	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 W Gulf Atlantic Hwy	open
Huey Magoo's Chicken Tenders Huey Magoo's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5295 Sundance Trl	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza and Subs Hungry Howie's	Quick service	Pizza · Sandwiches	701 S Main St	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	345 FL-44	open
Jeremiah's Italian Ice	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5806 Seven Mile Dr Ste 102	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	5625 Seven Mile Drive Suite 108	open
Jorg's Crepes	Café	French · European · Coffee	110 Forest Blvd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	Mile Post 299 Florida Turnpike	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	Mile Post 299 Florida Turnpike	open
Little Fin Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	766 Marilee Pl	open
Lollygaggers Sports Pub & Grill - Wildwood Lollygaggers Sports Pub & Grill - Crystal River	Bar · Casual dining		1220 S Main St	open
Los Magueyes Wildwood Los Magueyes Belleview	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	346 Shopping Center Dr	open
M&M Old Hickory Smokehouse BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	7993 NE 7th Dr	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2196 Everglades Lane, Fenney	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5806 Seven Mile Dr	open
McDonald's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4510 Monaco Way	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6006 Signature Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	809 Fl-44	open
Miz Kathi's Southern Sweetery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	105 N Main St	open
Napolini's Restaurant, Wildwood Fl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Nathan's Famous Hot Dogs	Quick service		Florida's Tpke Milepost 229	open
O'Shucks Oyster Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	1016 S Main St	open
Oakwood Express Oakwood Smokehouse and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1210 N Main St	open
Ole Coffee House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	610 N Main St	open
Orange Blossom Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	3212 Fenney Way,	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	5558 Seven Mile Dr	open
Panda Express	Quick service		5071 Sundance Trl	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	400 W Gulf Atlantic	open
Parkwood Village Social Club	Bar		517 Magnolia Ln	open
Paulie's Oaks on 44 Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	75 Continental Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	842 S Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	556 E. Street	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	I-75 & Route 44	open
Roberto's Ristorante & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	2468 Burnsed Blvd	open
Roosters On Oxford	Coffee shop	Coffee	205 Oxford St	open
Russell Stover Russell Stover	Dessert	Dessert	950 Industrial Dr	open
Sammy's Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	9668 N US Highway 301	open
Sawgrass Grove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
SHIPZ Kountry Krabs & Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	9005 County Road 231	open
Simply Southern Foods Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 N Main St	open
Smoke In The Country	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3145 N US-301	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	5800 Seven Mile Dr	open
Steak 'n Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	768 S.R. 44	open
Steak 'n Shake	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	768 E State Road 44	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10571 N US 301	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches		open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	I 75 & State Rd 44, National Auto Truckstops Inc	open
Sundaze	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7065 Beebe Ct	open
Sunrise Asian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	5806 Seven Mile Dr #103	open
Super Deals ZA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	9811 N US-301	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	428 East SR 44	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5821 7 Mile Drive	open
Take5	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	766 Marilee Pl	open
The Humble Native	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches	819 S Main St	open
The lyons den soul & seafood catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	809 Powell St	open
The Sunny Pint	Bar		4110 E State Road 44 Ste 501	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	5311 Sundance Trl	open
Twisted Oaks by Pulte Homes	Winery / distillery / taproom		9009 Wildlight Trail	open
Vietnamese Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1305 Huey St	open
Villa Pizza Dunkin'	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Pizza · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	Florida's Tpke Milepost 229	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	7954 NE 8th Way	open
Weavers BBQ and Soulfood	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5059 CR-144	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5809 Seven Mile Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	Fl 91 Milepost 299	open
Wendy's	Quick service		921 E State Road 44	open
Wildwood Vineyard and Events	Winery / distillery / taproom		1945 E CR-462	open
Woody's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1220 S Main St	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	868 E State Road 44	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5810 Seven Mile Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	13	11	6	5	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	11	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	3	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	11	3	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	12	11	3	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	5	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	19	9	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	14	6	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	16	8	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	15	14	6	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	19	17	8	9	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	20	18	7	11	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	25	23	11	12	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	27	25	14	11	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	26	23	13	10	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	24	22	13	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	24	23	13	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	24	12	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	26	12	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	32	17	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	30	16	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	35	16	17	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	42	42	18	20	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34785. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
33521	3.4 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.