BMIE Market 34786
Orange County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 42,358 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,285 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 15,026 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,006 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,092 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,953 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $134,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,914 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,318 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $684,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,234 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 19.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 87 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34786 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +129.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +411.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +987.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +2,800.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 115 (range 102–128) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +6.9 per year, r² 0.93) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 94 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 99 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34786. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +6.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.93, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 94.2 | 94 | 40% | +37.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 81.6 | 82 | 35% | +28.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 98.8 | 99 | 25% | +24.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 94 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 42,358 | 95 | 40% | +37.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 134,214 | 94 | 40% | +37.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 15,026 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 411.8 | 100 | 35% | +34.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.5 | 36 | 25% | +9.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 42,358 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 134,214 | 94 | 20% | +18.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 99 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 129.0 | 98 | 50% | +49.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 411.8 | 100 | 30% | +29.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 987.5 | 100 | 20% | +19.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (101)
By cuisine
Coffee 15 · Pizza 12 · American 11 · Italian 11 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Asian 6 · Burgers 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Mexican 5 · Breakfast 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Japanese 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Sushi 4 · Chinese 3 · Hawaiian / Pacific 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · French 2 · BBQ 1 · Brazilian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Café 13 · Quick service 11 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Other 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Natives 3Natives | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 5855 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Ste 130 | open |
| Agave Azul Windermere Agave Azul Cocina Mexicana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5855 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Ste 100 | open |
| Allen's Creamery & Coffeehouse | Dessert | Dessert | 523 Main St | open |
| Bella Tuscany Bella Tuscany | Bar | Italian · Pizza | 13424 Summerport Village Pkwy | open |
| Boteco do Manolo Windermere | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Brazilian · Latin American (other) | 11620 Lakeside Village Lane | open |
| Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5855 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Buddy Brew | Brewery / taproom · Coffee shop | Coffee | 111 Main St | open |
| BurgerFi | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Hot dogs | 4750 The Grove Dr | open |
| Burgerfi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5845 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Ste 100 | open |
| Burgerfi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4750 The Grove Dr | open |
| Caprino's Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 7782 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Charm Thai And Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Sushi · Japanese | 13211 Reams Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 6527 Old Brick Rd | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9100 Conroy Windermere Rd Ste 120 | open |
| Dexter's of Windermere | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4757 The Grove Dr | open |
| Dim Dim Sum | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4750 The Grove Dr | open |
| Dixie Cream Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 434 Main St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 11620 Lakeside Village | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 6527 Old Brick Rd | open |
| Ellie Lou's Brews & BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1625 Roberts Landing Rd | open |
| Fake Sugar Patisserie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9063 Outlook Rock Trail | open | |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 7910 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Flippers Pizza Co. - Windermere Flippers Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6526 Old Brick Rd Suite 100 | open |
| Foxtail Coffee Foxtail Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 14393 Bridgewater Crossings Blvd | open |
| Fresco Pizzeria – Windermere | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 527 Main St | open |
| Gator's Dockside Gator's Dockside Jonesville | Casual dining · Bar | American | 6516 Old Brick Rd | open |
| Gertrude's Kitchen, LLC | Catering | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 13506 Summerport Village Pkwy | open |
| Gl Restaurants, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6526 Old Brick Rd Ste 130 | open | |
| Hagan O Reillys Irish Pub and Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food | 1444 Belfiore Way | open |
| Hart Healthy Foods | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 4768 The Grove Dr | open |
| Hawkers Asian Street Food Hawkers Asian Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Asian | 9100 Conroy Windermere Rd | open |
| Hello Dolly Cupcakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | open | |
| Henko Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 13790 Bridgewater Crossings Blvd | open |
| Humbl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5845 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Ste 130 | open |
| HUMBL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5799 Winter Garden Vineland Road | open |
| Island Fin Poke, Windermere | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4750 The Grove Dr | open |
| Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6536 Old Brick Rd | open |
| Jeremiah's Italian Ice Jeremiah's Italian Ice | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4750 The Grove Dr #108 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 6507 Old Brick Road Suite 140 | open |
| Josie's Pizza and Wings Josie's Pizza & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 5855 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Ste #150 | open |
| Juan Valdez Café Juan Valdez Café | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Latin American (other) | 5855 Winter Garden Vineland Rd suite 140 | open |
| Jumbo Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7798 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Keke's Breakfast Cafe Keke's Breakfast Cafe | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 6526 Old Brick Rd #130 | open |
| Kelly's Homemade Ice Cream Kelly's Homemade Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 14387 Bridgewater Crossings Blvd | open |
| Kingdom Sushi Kingdom Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 6506 Old Brick Rd | open |
| Kona Ice of Winter Park Kona Ice | Dessert · Food truck | Dessert | WRX Pool Service, 13506 Summerport Village Pkwy | open |
| Little Greek Fresh Grill Little Greek Fresh Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Sandwiches · Mediterranean | 6536 Old Brick Rd | open |
| Lnw/bam Bam/brown Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4750 The Grove Dr Ste 290 | open | |
| Main Street Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 625 Main St | open |
| Manzzo Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 6506 Old Brick Rd #120 | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 14387 Bridgewater Crossings Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7836 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Mcl Restaurant Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13790 Bridgewater Crossings Blvd Ste 1000 | open | |
| Mister Drink Orlando | Bar | 13939 Ancilla Blvd | open | |
| My French Cafe | Bakery · Café | French · Coffee · Bakery | 5931, 7782 Winter Garden Vineland Rd #100 | open |
| My French Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | open | |
| Naan Stopp Indian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 5845 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Olp-fl 2, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14387 Bridgewater Crossings Blvd Ste 120 | open | |
| Paloma Parlor | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 625 Main St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 6537 Old Brick Rd | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7315 County Rd 535 | open |
| Pardi Bakes | Bakery | Bakery | 13436 Hopkinton Ct | open |
| Perrotti's Express | Other | Sandwiches | 7828 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Ste 134 | open |
| Piazza Rialto Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7782 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open | |
| Pie Fection Pie-Fection | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 13211 Reams Rd Ste 108 | open |
| Piesanos Stone Fired Pizza - Windermere Piesanos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7782 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 7970 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7790 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Playa Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 13211 Reams Rd Unit 108 | open |
| Poke Hana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5845 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Pokemoto Clermont Pokémoto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific | 8281 Lookout Pointe Dr | open |
| Rialto Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 7782 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| ROKKA'S SUSHI | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6507 OLD BRICK Rd | open | |
| San Jose's Original Mexican Restaurant San Jose's Original Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 11620 Lakeside Village Lane Suit 140 | open |
| Select Coffee House, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 523 Main St | open | |
| Seoul Bol | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Korean · American | 5845 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Ste 100 | open |
| Shang Hai Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4848 S Apopka Vineland Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9100 Conroy Windermere Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 7910 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Stromboli's New York Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 13518 Summerport Village Pkwy | open |
| Stuff a Bagel | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 13211 Reams Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 7315 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Unit A1117 | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 13530 Summerport Village Pkwy | open |
| Summer Palace Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 13428 Summerport Village Pkwy | open |
| Tab Restaurant Group, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13506 Summerport Village Pkwy PMB 304 | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 7970 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| The Daily City's Food Truck Bazaar - Windermere | Food truck | 520 Main St | open | |
| The French Café - Windermere | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 5855 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Ste 160 | open |
| Tijuana Flats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6527 Old Brick Rd | open |
| Toasted - Windermere | Other | Sandwiches | 6506 Old Brick Rd | open |
| Topper's Craft Creamery(r), Experts In Complementary Branding | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4750 The Grove Dr Ste 290 | open |
| Trésor de Macaron | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 13790 Bridgewater Crossings Blvd | open |
| TruNature Bowl & Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 11620 Lakeside Village Ln | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6517 Old Brick Rd | open |
| Windermere Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 111 W 5th Ave | open | |
| Windermere Craft Beer Fest | Brewery / taproom | 520 Main St | open | |
| Windermere Wine & Dine | Bar | 520 Main St | open | |
| Wolfgang Bakery Summerport | Bakery | Bakery | 13524 Summerport Village Pkwy | open |
| Yellow Dog Eats Yellow Dog Eats | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar | Coffee | 1236 Hempel Ave | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7880 Winter Garden Vineland Rd | open |
| Stefano's Italian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 7782 Winter Garden Vineland Rd Ste 140 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 23 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 41 | 37 | 15 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 30 | 27 | 9 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 42 | 38 | 17 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 55 | 48 | 15 | 24 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 66 | 57 | 22 | 26 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 80 | 71 | 30 | 28 | 13 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 89 | 78 | 33 | 31 | 13 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 96 | 87 | 36 | 34 | 16 | — | NAICS2022 |