BMIE Market 34788

Lake County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,966 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,522 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±694 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,519 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,817 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$54,147 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,731 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,438 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±194 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$169,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,844 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	36.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34788
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 24–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34788. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.3	58	40%	+23.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.5	54	35%	+19.1
Market Momentum Score	62.3	62	25%	+15.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,137	83	40%	+33.2
Median household income (ACS)	54,147	20	40%	+8.2
Households (ACS)	9,522	85	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	35%	+19.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.6	58	25%	+14.5
Population (ACS)	22,137	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	54,147	20	20%	+4.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	15.4	73	50%	+36.7
10-year restaurant growth	11.1	55	30%	+16.5
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (90)

By cuisine

American 25 · Pizza 10 · Coffee 9 · Juice / smoothies 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · BBQ 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 3 · Cuban 2 · Japanese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Quick service 16 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 8 · Coffee shop 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Food truck 3 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aloha Hawaiian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	10401 US-441 #2001	open
Antojitos "Mi Turo"	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	10625 CR-44	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	10601 Us 441 Us 441 & Lakes Boulevard	open
Blue Ribbon Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	38505 CR-452	open
Bojangles' Famous Chicken 'n Biscuits - CLOSED	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10430 Hwy 441 South	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10849 US Highway 441	open
Cafe Corner	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · American	7609 US Highway 441	open
Captain Bell's Seafood Of Florida Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8609 US Highway 441	open
Carmine’s Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	33202 CR-473	open
Cedar River Seafood Cedar River Seafood of Lake City, Florida	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	8609 US-441 #4010	open
Charley's Grilled Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10401 US Highway 441	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	9925 US Highway 441	open
Chief's Gamers Lounge	Bar		10401 US-441	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	9925 US Highway 441	open
China Liu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10601 US-441	open
China Max	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10401 US-441 Ste 80	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10450 US Highway 441	open
City star family diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	10332 US Highway 441	open
Coffee & Conversation Collective	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	32641 Radio Rd	open
Cousin Vinnie's Family Sports Restaurant	Quick service · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	10700 US-441	open
CR Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		9945 County Rd 44	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	9450 US-441	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9450 Hwy 441 US 27 & US 441	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Cuba Pichy's Cuisine Salsa Latin Night	Bar	Cuban · Middle Eastern	10401 US Highway 441	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service			open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10315 US Highway 441 Lake Square Mall #3206	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	9532 US Highway 441	open
Executive Suzuki	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9023 US Highway 441	open
Five Star Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	7609 US-441	open
Frontline BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	473 and Northern Av	open
Garfield's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10401 US Highway 441	open
Gator Bay Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	10320 County Rd 44	open
Giuseppe's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Pizza	11240 Northern Ave	open
Godfathers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9532 US Highway 441	open
Granpappys	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Breakfast	9924 US-441	open
Hershey's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	10401 US Highway 441	open
Hoss's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10601 US Hwy 441, C-18	open
Huber's Tiki Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		34539 Laralack Ave	open
Ice Cream Alley Sobik's Subs	Specialty food shop · Dessert · Quick service	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	10601 US-441	open
Ice Cream Queen LLC	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	33626 Verda Ave	open
Ichiban Buffet Ichiban Buffet	Buffet	Asian · Chinese	10301 US Highway 441	open
Iq 225 Bbq, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	9540 US Highway 441	open
J & T Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	9924 US-441	open
JD Gelato	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	10401 US Highway 441	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10601 US-441 U C19	open
Joe Muggs	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	10401 US-441	open
Kawachi Sushi and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	10601 US-441 Ste C12	open
KFC KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	10315 US-441	open
Lilly's Super Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	32339 CR-473	open
Living Green Health Foods	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		9726 U S 441	open
Lj's Lounge & Package	Bar		10601 US-441	open
Mama's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10401 US Highway 441	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10420 Us Hwy 441 S	open
Mediterranean Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	10401 US-441	open
MURSI	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	10401 US-441	open
Nature's Table cafe	Other	Sandwiches	10401 US Highway 441	open
Njg Properties Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10320 County Road 44	open
Nonna	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Bakery	10401 US-441	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10026 US Highway 441	open
Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	9600 US-441	open
Panda Express Panda Express	Quick service		10849 US Highway	open
Papa John's Papa John's	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	10300 US-441	open
Pepperoni Tony's Pizza - NJ - Seaside	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	141 Us 441	open
Pichy's Cuban 2 Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Caribbean · BBQ	10401 US-441	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8425 US Hwy 441 Lake	open
Pizzano's Pizza & Grinderz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11240 Northern Ave	open
Pub 27 Sports Bar	Bar		11240 Northern Ave st 105	open
Red Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	10010 US Highway 441	open
Ruby Tuesday Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	American · Healthy / salads / bowls	9616 US-441	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	10670 US-441	open
Steak 'n Shake Steak 'n Shake	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10650 US Highway 441	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10135 US Hwy 441 Suite 4	open
Sully's Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	10820 County Rd 44	open
That 716 Pizza Joint Lake County	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	10401 US-441 U 322	open
The Chill Pub	Bar		11240 Northern Ave	open
The Mojo Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9925 US Highway 441	open
The Munkey Bar	Bar · Casual dining		33227 Kaylee Way	open
The Next Bite	Coffee shop	Latin American (other) · Vegetarian · Coffee	10401 US-441	open
The Pickle Barrel General Store & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9945 County Road 44	open
The Tandoor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian		open
The Tavares Family Chateau	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		10701 US Highway 441	open
Tijuana Flats	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	10300 US Highway 441 Ste 101	open
Tono's Tacos	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	10401 US Highway 441	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10601 U.S. 441	open
Vic's Embers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7940 US Highway 441	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	9520 US-441	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10401 Us Highway 441	open
Yo Bell	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	10401 US-441	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	10601 US-441 D	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	22	20	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	22	21	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	20	19	7	10	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	24	23	10	11	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	24	23	11	9	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	26	23	11	8	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	25	24	11	10	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	26	25	14	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	26	25	14	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	27	26	13	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2006	25	24	11	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	27	27	12	13	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	32	32	15	13	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	30	29	16	12	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	33	33	16	15	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	28	28	14	11	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	29	29	14	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	27	13	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	30	30	15	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	33	33	17	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	34	34	20	12	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	32	32	17	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	26	14	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	27	13	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	30	28	13	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	32	15	12	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	32	32	16	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	30	13	13	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34788. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32735	3.2 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.