BMIE Market 34949

St. Lucie County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,470 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±951 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,146 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±537 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,103 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,685 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$94,949 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,785 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	64.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,769 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±662 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$483,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,713 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34949
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+90.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+72.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+111.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+111.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 16–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34949. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.9	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.2	66	35%	+23.2
Market Momentum Score	90.7	91	25%	+22.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,470	66	40%	+26.6
Median household income (ACS)	94,949	77	40%	+31.0
Households (ACS)	4,146	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	35%	+30.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.4	26	25%	+6.5
Population (ACS)	7,470	66	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	94,949	77	20%	+15.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	90	94	50%	+47.1
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	30%	+26.5
20-year restaurant growth	111.1	85	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 7 · Pizza 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · Breakfast 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Vietnamese 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 15 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 3 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angelina's Pizzeria e Ristorante Angelina's Pizza Elyria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1126 Colonnades Dr	open
Archie's Seabreeze	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	401 S Ocean Dr	open
At-Waters Edge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1136 Seaway Dr	open
Beach House Bar	Bar		259 N Highway A1A	open
Benny's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1007 Seaway Dr	open
boat snack	Restaurant (service type not stated)		905 Shorewinds Dr	open
Castaways Bar Fort Pierce Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1920 Seaway Dr	open
Chuck's Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	822 Seaway Dr	open
Crazy Nick's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1124 Colonnades Dr	open
Cream Republic	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1122 Colonnades Dr	open
Dave's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1011 Seaway Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	835 Seaway Dr	open
Festival Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	6	open
Goodfella's Pizza Goodfellas Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	971 Seaway Dr	open
Hershey Ice Cream & Acai Cafe	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	825 Seaway Dr	open
Hurricane Grill & Wings Hurricane Grill & Wings	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2017 Seaway Dr	open
Island Beach Bar & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2400 S Ocean Dr	open
Island Beach Bar and Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		110 S Ocean Dr	open
Island Pig and Fish - BBQ and Fresh Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		835 Seaway Dr	open
Jackie's Beach Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	110 S Ocean Dr	open
Jetty Lounge	Bar		100 S Ocean Dr	open
Lee Lee's Shaved Ice	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3302 N Hwy A1A	open
Manatee Island Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1640 Seaway Dr	open
Mister Z's Bourbon & Cigar Bar	Bar		110 S Ocean Dr	open
NYC Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	835 Seaway Dr	open
Oasis Diner	Casual dining · Quick service	American · Breakfast	901 Shorewinds Dr	open
Ocean Village Poa	Bar · Casual dining		2400 S Ocean Dr	open
On The Edge Dockside Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1136 Seaway Dr	open
Pho Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Pizza	1007 Seaway Dr	open
Pie Hole Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2510 S Ocean Dr	open
Puerto Vallarta Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1007 Seaway Dr	open
Ramp Raw Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1009 Seaway Dr	open
Rumfish Grill and Resort	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Seaway Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1001 Seaway Dr	open
Sharky's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	1012 Shorewinds Dr	open
Shaved Ice Paradise LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hawaiian / Pacific	601 Seaway Dr	open
Square Grouper Tiki Bar	Bar		1920 Seaway Dr	open
Taco Dive Beachside	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2025 Seaway Dr	open
The Dune Bar	Bar		110 S Ocean Dr	open
The Sandwich Factory	Food truck · Catering · Casual dining	American	Causeway Cove Marina, 601 Seaway Dr Ste 1	open
The Wet Whistle	Bar		601 Seaway Dr	open
Viet Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	835 Seaway Dr Ste 2	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	11	9	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	12	11	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	9	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	9	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	8	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	10	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	11	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	15	14	11	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	9	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	9	2	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	9	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	9	1	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	12	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	7	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	12	10	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	9	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	18	15	12	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	19	15	12	—	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	20	16	12	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	9	4	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	22	19	14	4	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34949. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34950	2.5 mi	41	2023
34946	4.5 mi	9	2023
34947	4.6 mi	22	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.