BMIE Market 34951

St. Lucie County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,148 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,229 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,419 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±511 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,115 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,876 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,122 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	57.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,197 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±163 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$244,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,763 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34951
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+175.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 6–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34951. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.7	62	40%	+24.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.8	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	63.9	64	25%	+16.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,148	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	63,122	35	40%	+14.2
Households (ACS)	7,419	80	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.4	87	25%	+21.7
Population (ACS)	17,148	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	63,122	35	20%	+7.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+39.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 6 · Dessert 5 · Italian 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Dessert 6 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Al's Red Barn Grill	Casual dining	American · Mexican	2005 N Kings Hwy	open
American Smoke BBQ Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	8850 Indrio Rd	open
Bearded Brothers Taphouse & Eatery	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar		4810 N Kings Hwy	open
Boomer's Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4812 N Kings Hwy	open
Chicken and Waffle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American	7319 Indrio Rd	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4836 N Kings Hwy	open
Chubbies Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	5208 Turnpike Feeder Rd	open
Dick Head Club	Bar		8307 Fort Pierce Blvd	open
Dixie Cream	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	5007 Turnpike Feeder Rd Fl 34951	open
Dixie Dream Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	5007 Turnpike Feeder Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4876 North Kings Hwy Sunoco Gas Station	open
Elienai Valdes	Food truck		8850 Indrio Rd	open
Fort Prce Ldg No 248, Lyl Ordr of	Bar		325 Pandora Ave	open
Grillin'N'Chillin Backyard	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2107 Johnston Rd	open
House Of Leafs By Groovy, Cigar Shop LLC	Bar		5190 Turnpike Feeder Rd	open
KF Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	7319 Indrio Rd	open
Lakewood Park Liquors and Pub	Casual dining · Bar		4902 N Kings Hwy	open
Loutina's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4880 N Kings Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4878 N Kings Hwy	open
Nino's Lakewood Park	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	5018 Turnpike Feeder Rd	open
Oniku Japanese Cuisine & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	4882 N Kings Hwy	open
Rio Citrus	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2050 N Kings Hwy	open
Soft swirl	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5198 Turnpike Feeder Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4890 N Kings Hwy	open
Summer Crush Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		4200 Johnston Rd	open
We Be Poppin Lakewood Park	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	5047 Turnpike Feeder Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	—	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	12	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	14	13	5	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34951. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34946	4.1 mi	9	2023
32962	4.2 mi	16	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.