BMIE Market 35094

Jefferson County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,854 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,048 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,726 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±437 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,212 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,356 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,818 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,076 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$234,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,700 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	58.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35094
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+54.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+126.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 35–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35094. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.7	68	40%	+27.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.4	56	35%	+19.7
Market Momentum Score	66.7	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,854	76	40%	+30.6
Median household income (ACS)	74,625	55	40%	+21.8
Households (ACS)	5,726	76	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	35%	+22.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.9	30	25%	+7.6
Population (ACS)	14,854	76	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	74,625	55	20%	+10.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.7	67	50%	+33.6
10-year restaurant growth	21.4	64	30%	+19.3
20-year restaurant growth	54.6	69	20%	+13.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (79)

By cuisine

American 15 · Pizza 9 · Mexican 8 · Chicken / wings 6 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · BBQ 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Seafood 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Filipino 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Quick service 17 · Bar 10 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Bakery	2033 Village Dr	open
Ashville Rd & Hwy 20 Whataburger	Quick service		1824 ASHVILLE RD	open
Auntie Anne's Pretzels: The Shops at Grand River Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	6200 Grand River Blvd E	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Quick service	Seafood · American	1817 Ashville Road	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	1808 Ashville Rd	open
Chicken Now	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6200 Grand River Blvd E	open
China Wok \| Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7480 Parkway Dr #136	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · Coffee · American	2003 Village Dr	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	7480 Parkway Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7709 Parkway Drive	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2111 Moody Parkway	open
El Cazador Leeds El Cazador	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1846 Ashville Rd	open
El Zarape Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6200 Grand River Blvd E	open
Farm and Sea Cajun Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	6200 Grand River Blvd E Suite 360	open
Fesco Fire Equipment Service Company, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1689 10th St	open
Frozen Rooster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	6200 Grand River Blvd E	open
Golden Gate Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1725 Ashville Rd	open
Guadalajara Of Leeds Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1800 Ashville Rd	open
Guerrero Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7521 Parkway Dr	open
Hardee's / Red Burrito	Quick service		1824 Ashville Rd	open
Huck's Rib Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7296 Parkway Dr	open
Hustle & Grind Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	1210 6th St	open
Hwy 55	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8525 Whitfield Ave	open
Izumi Asian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1619 Ashville Rd	open
Jack's Jack's	Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7530 Parkway Dr	open
Jello Dome	Bar · Casual dining		11095 Co Rd 41	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1815 Ashville Road NE Highway 411	open
L.p.g. Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7709 Parkway Dr	open
La Juanita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1345 Vivian St SW	open
Leeds 400 Club	Bar		1525 9th St	open
Leeds Drive In Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7701 Parkway Dr	open
Lemongrass Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	6200 Grand River Blvd E	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · American	8901 Weaver Ave NE Ste 101	open
Logan's Roadhouse Logan's Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · Chicken / wings · American	1999 Village Dr	open
Mangos Cantina and Grill Leeds	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1770 Ashville Rd	open
Marano's d'asporto	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	6200 Grand River Blvd E	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1724 Ashville Rd	open
Mi ranchito 1 leeds alabama	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Mexican	1623 Ashville Rd	open
Mi ranchito mexican store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1623 Ashville Rd	open
Mr Taco Truck 3 leeds	Food truck	Mexican	7680 Parkway Dr	open
Mr.Tea Boba & Coffee	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	6200 Grand River Blvd E	open
Neighbors Leeds Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6200 Grand River Blvd E Ste 510	open
Old Smokey Bar-b-q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	7323 Parkway Dr	open
Otoro Hibachi Leeds	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	8525 Whitfield Ave #121	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1725 Ashville Rd Ste 125	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8525 Whitfield Ave Ste 131	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2013 Village Dr	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8525 Whitfield Ave Ste 131	open
Press 'n' Eat	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	6200 Grand River Blvd E	open
Primo Grill Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7323 Parkway Dr	open
Rails and Ales Rails and Ales	Bar		1210 6th St	open
Remnant Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8149 Parkway Dr	open
Ricarda's Filipino BBQ	Food truck	Filipino · BBQ	2056 Montevallo Rd SW	open
Rmg Alabama Max Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6200 Grand River Blvd E Ste E	open
Rock Wool Mfg. Co.	Bar		8610 Spruiell St	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2023 Village Dr	open
Rusty's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7484 Parkway Dr	open
Santa's Wonderland BassPro	Dessert			open
Sbarro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6200 Grand River Blvd E	open
Snobiz Leeds	Dessert			open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7701 Parkway Drive	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1101 Higrove Parkway Suite 101	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	8551 Whitfield Ave	open
Supreme East Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1770 Ashville Rd	open
Sweet Caroline's Pizzeria & Creamery	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts	8118 Parkway Dr	open
Sweet Home Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		8316 Parkway Dr Ste 120	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1801 Ashville Rd	open
The Backyard	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ · American	6200 Grand River Blvd E Suite 510	open
The Buzzard Lounge	Bar		6040 Barber Motorsports Pkwy	open
The Cedars - Murphree Home	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1397 Montevallo Rd	open
The Central	Bar		8310 Side Trak	open
The Neon Moon Lounge of Leeds	Bar		8040 Parkway Dr	open
The Wing Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7521 Parkway Dr	open
Three Earred Rabbit	Bakery · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee · Bakery	8101 Parkway Dr	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1850 Ashville Rd	open
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	8525 Whitfield Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2045 Village Dr	open
Wharf Casual Seafood Moody Wharf Casual Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	2023 Village Dr	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	1824 ASHVILLE RD	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	20	16	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	25	21	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	24	20	4	16	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	26	22	8	14	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	23	20	7	13	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	23	19	6	13	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	25	21	8	13	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	26	22	5	17	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	25	20	4	16	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	23	20	5	14	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	28	24	7	17	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	25	23	7	16	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	24	21	7	13	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	27	24	7	17	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	27	24	7	17	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	30	26	9	17	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	31	28	8	20	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	31	28	10	17	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	31	27	9	16	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	31	28	8	19	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	33	30	10	18	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	34	32	11	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	31	9	20	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	38	33	9	21	3	4	NAICS2017
2020	36	31	9	21	—	4	NAICS2017
2021	36	31	9	21	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	39	35	10	20	5	3	NAICS2022
2023	39	34	8	22	4	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35094. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35176	4.5 mi	1	2013

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.