BMIE Market 35126

Jefferson County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,599 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,805 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±593 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,725 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,494 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,732 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,062 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,435 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±308 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$199,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,027 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	60.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35126
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+88.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+70.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35126. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.2	76	40%	+30.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.9	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	32.2	32	25%	+8.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,599	83	40%	+33.4
Median household income (ACS)	83,732	67	40%	+26.6
Households (ACS)	7,805	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10.5	18	35%	+6.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.5	82	25%	+20.6
Population (ACS)	22,599	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	83,732	67	20%	+13.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.6	22	50%	+11.1
10-year restaurant growth	-10.5	18	30%	+5.4
20-year restaurant growth	88.9	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

American 9 · Asian 4 · Mexican 4 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chinese 3 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Barking Bee Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4278 Main St	open
Beach Vibes Tiki Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4520 Pinson Blvd	open
China Kitchen Pinson Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5108 Old Springville Rd	open
China Luck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4502 Center Point Rd	open
Cottage Inn	Bar		8905 Old Highway 75	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's	Quick service		4514 Pinson Blvd	open
Double deuce	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	8905 Old Hwy 75	open
Emk, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6723 Deerfoot Pkwy Ste 121	open
Goya Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6662 Highway 75	open
Hardee's / Red Burrito	Quick service		6670 Highway 75	open
Huddle House Huddle House	Casual dining	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4655 Center Point Road	open
Jack's Jack's	Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4468 Pinson Blvd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6662 Tapawingo Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6639 Hwy 151	open
Munoz Mexican Grill Munoz Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	6662 Highway 75	open
New Daylight Donuts Daylight Donuts of Portales	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4514 Pinson Blvd	open
Panda Chinese Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6662 AL-75	open
Panda House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6723 Deerfoot Pkwy #115	open
Papa Sal's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	6726 Old Springville Rd	open
Pardue's Party on the Patio	Café	Coffee	6870 Deer Haven Rd	open
Paul's Hotdogs & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	5180 Old Springville Rd	open
Pinson valley shrimp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegan	6710 Highway 79	open
Price's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4300 Main St	open
Rickey J's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	6408 Old Springville Rd	open
SaddleRidge Bakes microbakery	Bakery	Bakery	812 Saddle Ridge Cir	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6662 Hwy 75 Suite 109	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6723 Deerfoot Pkwy Suite 121	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	6650 Highway 75	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	6726 Deerfoot Pkwy	open
Taquizas Los Primos Martínez	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	5204 Hickory Grove Cir	open
The Barbeque Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	6633 Old Springville Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	4688 Pinson Blvd	open
Wings-A-Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5116 Old Springville Rd	open
Yum Yum Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Japanese	6710 Highway 79	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	5150 Old Springville Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	1	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	10	1	9	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	—	9	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	—	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	12	3	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	15	13	2	11	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	19	17	2	15	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	16	15	2	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	17	16	2	13	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	14	13	3	10	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	16	15	4	11	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	4	10	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	5	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	19	6	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	18	4	14	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	2	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	4	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	17	16	—	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	3	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	17	3	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	16	3	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	14	3	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	17	4	12	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35126. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.