BMIE Market 35763

Madison County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,216 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,375 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$123,497 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,848 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,297 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$396,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,170 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	40.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35763
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+162.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 19–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35763. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.1	85	40%	+34.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.1	73	35%	+25.6
Market Momentum Score	43.5	44	25%	+10.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,819	81	40%	+32.5
Median household income (ACS)	123,497	91	40%	+36.6
Households (ACS)	7,241	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	35%	+21.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.6	70	25%	+17.5
Population (ACS)	19,819	81	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	123,497	91	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16	15	50%	+7.5
10-year restaurant growth	16.7	60	30%	+18.0
20-year restaurant growth	162.5	90	20%	+17.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (47)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 8 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Greek 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Bakery 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 11 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 5 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alabama Restaurant Consulting Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		129 Old Highway 431	open
Amélie Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6727 US-431	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6545 Highway 431 S	open
Big Cove Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	153 Taylor Rd SE	open
Buenavista Mexican Cantina Buenavista Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3045 Mountain Cove Blvd SE	open
Carson's Grill	Bar		129 Old Highway 431	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	6599 Highway 431 S	open
china cook	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6707 US-431	open
Cross Roads Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6565 US Hwy 431 SE	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6490 US Highway 431 S	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	6511 Highway 431 S	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6565 US Hwy 431 SE	open
El Olmeca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6966 US-431	open
Electric Slice Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9429 US-431	open
Grandmother's House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3980 Old 431 Hwy	open
Hampton Cove Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · American	6400 Highway 431 S	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		2515 Mountain Cove Dr	open
Huddle House Huddle House	Casual dining	American	3101 Mountain Cove Cir SE	open
Jefferson's Jefferson's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	326 Sutton Road SE Suites L,M,N	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	6694 Highway 431 South	open
La Esperanza Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9425 US-431	open
LawLers Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	6727 Highway-431 S Ste N	open
MANDARIN HOUSE BUFFET& GRILL	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	326 Sutton Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6711 Highway 431 S	open
Mudslingers Coffee of Huntsville	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6935 US-431	open
Owens Cross Roads - Hampton Cove The Brass Tap	Bar		6407 US-431	open
Perfect Timing Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9481 US-431	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6585 B Hwy #431S	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	366 Sutton Road	open
Spitz- Huntsville Spitz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek	7070 US-431	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6735 US-431	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	7060 Highway 431 S	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6707 US-431	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	330 Sutton Rd SE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9433 Hwy 431 South	open
Taqueria El Cazador Taqueria El Cazador - Madison County	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	153 SE Taylor Rd	open
Taziki's Mediterranean Café - Hampton Cove Taziki's Mediterranean Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek	6407 US-431 suite e	open
The Blendery OCR	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		2998 Old 431 Hwy	open
The Brass Tap The Brass Tap - Lakeside Village	Bar		6407 US-431	open
The Library Food and Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6727 US-431	open
Theo's Cafe	Café	Coffee	317 Old Hwy 431 Suite B	open
Tortora's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	182 Old 431 Hwy B	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	330 Sutton Rd SE	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6694 Us 431 S Hwy Se	open
Whataburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6813 US-431 S	open
Yogurt Mountain Hampton Cove Yogurt Mountain	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	326 Sutton Rd SE	open
Yoshi Sushi Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3110 Mountain Cove Cir SE D	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	10	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	16	8	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	13	8	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	18	18	12	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	18	17	11	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	18	12	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	20	19	11	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	8	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	18	7	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	23	22	7	10	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	21	20	6	11	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	25	24	7	12	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	27	26	8	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	25	7	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	26	8	14	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	25	8	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	21	9	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	23	10	10	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	21	10	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35763. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35803	4.3 mi	35	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.