BMIE Market 35808

Madison County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,153 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	360 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,946 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	379 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$142,273 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,945 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,654 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±97 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	Data source not yet connected
Land area	58.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2016 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2016 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 35808
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2002, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	0 (range 0–1) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1994–2016 (10 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	4 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35808. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1994–2016, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.1	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.7	70	35%	+24.4
Market Momentum Score	4.1	4	25%	+1.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,153	35	40%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	142,273	95	40%	+38.1
Households (ACS)	360	31	20%	+6.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.7	78	25%	+29.8
Population (ACS)	1,153	35	20%	+10.6
Median household income (ACS)	142,273	95	20%	+29.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 4 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-50	4	50%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	-50	4	20%	+1.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (10)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · American 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Coffee shop 4 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 3 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Beignets and Brew Beignets & Brew	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Dessert	2250 Rideout Rd	open
Cafe Doner Box Mediterranean	Coffee shop	Mediterranean · Greek · Coffee	4488 Martin road sw	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	5298 Redstone Arsenal Bldg 2220	open
DipWich Original American Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	2100 Rideout Rd	open
Fiero Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2100 Rideout Rd SW	open
Gathering Grounds Coffee at Red Stone Arsenal	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3220 Acton Rd	open
Java Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	3443 Honest John Rd	open
Rocket City Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2100 Rideout Rd SW	open
The “New” Pfeiffer Castle & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		484 Cooke Dr	open
Weeden Mountain Grill	Bar		4140 Goss Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2016	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35808. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.