BMIE Market 35824

Madison County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,645 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,051 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,588 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±539 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,070 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,139 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,619 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,271 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$390,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35824
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+125.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+800.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+800.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	83 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35824. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.0	76	40%	+30.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82.6	83	35%	+28.9
Market Momentum Score	89.6	90	25%	+22.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,645	70	40%	+28.1
Median household income (ACS)	103,619	83	40%	+33.3
Households (ACS)	4,588	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	125	95	35%	+33.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.3	75	25%	+18.7
Population (ACS)	9,645	70	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	103,619	83	20%	+16.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	125	95	30%	+28.4
20-year restaurant growth	800	99	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 4 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Bar 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Air Host Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1000 Glenn Hearn Blvd Sw Ste 20155	open
Alison ‘s Mexican restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	671 Martin Rd SW	open
Barbeque Heaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	119 James Madison Dr SW	open
Big Shake's Hot Chicken And Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	671 Martin Rd SW	open
Chickies Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	3324 Wall Triana Hwy SW	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	143 Martin Rd SW	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2280 Zierdt Rd	open
Jack's Jack's	Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3314 Wall Triana Hwy SW	open
La Fuente Martin Rd. La Fuente Mexican Restaurant LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	109 Martin Rd SW	open
Mangia Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2288 Zierdt Rd	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2290 Zierdt Rd SW Unit 1	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · Breakfast	2268 Zierdt Road	open
P. Swami Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		671 Martin Rd SW	open
ShakeiT Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Coffee shop	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee		open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1000 Glenn Hearn Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	671 Martin Rd SW	open
Sunset Landing Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	346 James Record Rd SW	open
The Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1000 Glenn Hearn Blvd SW	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	2286 Zierdt Rd	open
Zierdt Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2280 Zierdt Rd SW	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	6	—	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	—	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	—	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35824. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35756	3.8 mi	18	2023
35758	4.6 mi	144	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.