BMIE Market 36274

Randolph County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,968 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±591 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,393 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±333 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,199 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,295 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$50,621 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,050 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$653 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$143,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,079 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	179.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36274
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-35.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-38.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-15.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	10 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36274. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.0	49	40%	+19.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.3	37	35%	+13.1
Market Momentum Score	10.3	10	25%	+2.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,968	71	40%	+28.3
Median household income (ACS)	50,621	16	40%	+6.2
Households (ACS)	4,393	72	20%	+14.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-35.3	9	35%	+3.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.0	68	25%	+17.1
Population (ACS)	9,968	71	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	50,621	16	20%	+3.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-21.4	12	50%	+6.2
10-year restaurant growth	-35.3	9	30%	+2.6
20-year restaurant growth	-38.9	8	20%	+1.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 14 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Chicken / wings 4 · Mexican 4 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 10 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 5 · Café 3 · Buffet 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Big Boy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5094 Louina Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3194 US-431	open
Cazador 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3355 US-431	open
Cls Homecooking Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2028 Highway 431	open
Cocina Real Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1037 Main St	open
Debbie's Saloon	Bar		4064 Co Rd 237	open
Downtown 56 Pizza and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · American	1133 Main St	open
Dube's Bar and Grill	Bar		412 Lafayette Hwy	open
Dube's Sports Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		Roanoke, AL, United States	open
Express Chicken & Fish Chicken Express	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3163 US-431	open
Gedneys Restaurant & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4753 US-431	open
grubbing with Sally restaurant	Quick service		751 Seymour Dr	open
Guthrie's Guthrie’s Tri-State	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3240 Highway 431	open
Happy Trails Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	32498 US Highway 431	open
Helene's Bama BBQ & Catering	Food truck		1234 Anywhere We May Be	open
Hong Kong King Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	205 Peachtree St	open
Huddle House Huddle House	Casual dining	American	3106 US-431	open
Jack's Jack's	Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4170 US-431	open
Jack's Family Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4170 Highway 431	open
Jo & Friends Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	951 Chestnut St	open
Jon Boy's Smoke House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	102 Lafayette Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	32264 Hwy 431	open
La Herradura	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3355 US-431	open
Lulus Ole Time Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	13208 US-431	open
Ma' Francis Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	950 White St	open
Main Street Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	928 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	111 Rock Mills Rd	open
Mohawk Roanoke Mills	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3019 Highway 431 Byp S Randolph	open
Roanoke Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	302 Main St	open
Roanoke subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3183 Highway 431	open
Smokey Mills BBQ & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1106 Main St	open
Southern Saloon	Bar · Café	Coffee	4064 County Road 237	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3705 US Highway 431	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3221 US-431	open
The Chuckwagon Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1507 Main St	open
The Elephant Coffee Shop, Llc	Café	Coffee	560 Main St	open
The Hippie Bean Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	928 Main St	open
Wingman’s Buffalo Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	3164 US-431	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1115 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	13	5	8	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	16	14	6	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	15	14	6	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	15	8	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	17	17	6	11	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	18	5	13	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	5	14	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	20	5	15	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	23	21	7	13	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	16	14	8	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	20	18	10	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	24	21	12	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	16	14	5	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	15	8	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	19	17	10	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	17	8	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	17	15	6	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	—	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36274. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.