BMIE Market 36278

Randolph County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,299 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±536 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,938 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±263 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,366 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,963 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,706 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	51.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$701 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$261,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50,665 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	138.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36278
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+250.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 4–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36278. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.9	46	40%	+18.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.0	56	35%	+19.6
Market Momentum Score	91.2	91	25%	+22.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,299	58	40%	+23.2
Median household income (ACS)	58,214	27	40%	+10.6
Households (ACS)	1,938	60	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.3	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	4,299	58	20%	+11.6
Median household income (ACS)	58,214	27	20%	+5.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	133.3	98	50%	+49.0
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	250	95	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

American 9 · BBQ 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Coffee 4 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Bar 3 · Bakery 2 · Quick service 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bloom’s Cafe at RRCTC	Café	Coffee	960 Main St S	open
Blue Dragon Yacht Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Bobbers Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Boondocks BBQ & Creamery	Dessert	BBQ · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Cajun, Creole, Southern	20201 US-431	open
Captain Cook's Lake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	475 Wedowee Creek View Dr	open
Dolce Italia Dolce Italia	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Ice cream / frozen desserts	109 Main St S	open
Good Ole Boys BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1308 Main St S	open
Hacienda San Antonio Mexican Restaurant Hacienda Hotel San Antonio - Cajamarca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1545 Main St S	open
Hot Stuff Pizza Hot Stuff Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	444 Main St N	open
Jack's Jack's	Casual dining	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	32 Village Ln	open
Ken’s Hickory Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	21430 Highway 431	open
Lake Wedowee Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		29 Main St S	open
Lakeside market and grill hwy 431	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	21143 Highway 431	open
Miss Amber's Cafe	Café	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	15 Main St S	open
Nelson's Wings & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	118 3rd St W	open
Porch Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	1499 Main St S	open
Rocky Branch Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	117 S Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	142 Village Lane	open
Sweet Thangs Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	626 1st Ave SE	open
Thai Table Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	17052 US-431	open
The Grill at Lakeside Marina/BP fueling station	Café	Coffee · BBQ · American	21143 Highway 431	open
Unique's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1321 Main St S	open
Wake & Shake	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Breakfast	108 Main St S	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	190 Village Ln	open
First Light Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	109 Main St S	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36278. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.