BMIE Market 36527

Baldwin County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,765 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,012 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,366 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±562 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,109 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,245 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$120,189 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,141 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,432 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$389,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,482 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	42.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36527
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	26.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+2.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+260.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 33–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36527. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.3	85	40%	+34.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.4	63	35%	+22.2
Market Momentum Score	70.6	71	25%	+17.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,765	83	40%	+33.1
Median household income (ACS)	120,189	90	40%	+36.1
Households (ACS)	7,366	80	20%	+16.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	2.9	48	35%	+16.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.5	47	25%	+11.9
Population (ACS)	21,765	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	120,189	90	20%	+18.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.1	74	50%	+37.0
10-year restaurant growth	2.9	48	30%	+14.5
20-year restaurant growth	260	96	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

American 18 · Seafood 9 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 7 · Chicken / wings 6 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Italian 4 · Japanese 4 · Hawaiian / Pacific 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Bar 12 · Quick service 12 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alley 25 Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Sandwiches	10460 Eastern Shore Dr	open
Beakers Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	29001 Bass Pro Dr Ste 700	open
Beef O Bradys Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		8495 Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Beef O’Brady’s	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6450 US-90 Ste J	open
BigHead's	Catering	BBQ	6475 Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Bluefin Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	29001 Bass Pro Dr	open
Bluegill Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3775 Battleship Pkwy	open
Bogeys Sports Bar And Grille	Bar		5872 Battleship Pkwy	open
BrammerLife	Bar		31902 Bobwhite Rd	open
Briquettes Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	30179 Eastern Shore Ct	open
Cafe Del Rio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1175 Battleship Pkwy	open
Cafe Fresh South Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10200A Eastern Shore Blvd	open
California Dreaming California Dreaming - Durban Beachfront Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	30500 State Hwy 181	open
Cd Mobile Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		30500 State Highway 181	open
Cheryls Cafe and Market	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	6580 Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	30500 SR 181 Suite B	open
China Fun Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6450 US-90	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	30227 Eastern Shore Ct	open
David's Catfish House David's Catfish House Spanish Fort AL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	10810 Hwy 31	open
Dippin' Dots	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9945 Spanish Fort Blvd Ste A	open
Double D's Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	29001 Bass Pro Dr #100	open
ED'S Seafood Shed	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3382 Battleship Pkwy	open
Eds Seafood Shed	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood	31287 Blakeley Way	open
Foosackly's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	30500 State Hwy 181	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	30860 State Hwy 181	open
Fresh Cafe - Spanish Fort	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10184 Eastern Shore Blvd	open
Great American Cookies Great American Cookies	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery · Dessert	30500 AL-181	open
Groovy Goat Groovy Goat OWA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings	6450 US-90 Ste J	open
Half Shell Oyster House Spanish Fort Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		30500 State Highway 181 Ste 800	open
Happy Sushi SF	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	101 Marcella Ave	open
Highway 225 Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	6729 Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Honeybun Donuts and Kolaches	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	6729 Spanish Fort Blvd H	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	30179 Eastern Shore Court	open
In The Dough Micro Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	30436 Blessed Wy	open
Jaro Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6729 Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	30362 State Highway 181 Ste 110 Ste. 110	open
Joe's Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6450 US-90	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6445 Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10304 US Highway 31	open
Mandina’s Of Spanish Fort	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	25000 Bass Pro Dr Ste 100	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10240 Eastern Shore Blvd	open
Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	30500 State Hwy 181	open
Moo Che CHE	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	10200 Eastern Shore Blvd	open
Newk's Eatery Newk's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	30500 AL-181	open
Ohana Poke & Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	10179 Eastern Shore Dr Ste 104	open
Oishi Japanese Sushi Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	23000 Town Centre Ave #800	open
Old 31 Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		11133 Old Highway 31	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean	30500 State Hwy 181 Ste D	open
Original Oyster House Original Oyster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3733 Battleship Pkwy	open
Panera Bread	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	10200 Eastern Shore Blvd Ste 100	open
Papa John's Convenience Store Papa Johns Honduras	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	8148 Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10179 Eastern Shore Blvd	open
PJ's Coffee PJ's Coffee of Hammond	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	6510 Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Poor Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	30500 State Highway 181 Ste 134	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	30765 Mill Ln	open
R and R Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1477 Battleship Pkwy	open
Ralph and Kacoo's Ralph & Kacoo's Bossier City " The Steak and Seafood Restaurant"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Seafood	1595 Battleship Pkwy	open
Rise Breakfast & Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Breakfast	10198 Hwy 31	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	30500 Highway 181 Suite E	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	30939 Mill Lane	open
Spanish Fort Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	30500 State Hwy 181 #110	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	30350 AL-181	open
Stix STIX Restaurant Collierville	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	10240 Eastern Shore Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6729 K Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Sweet And Simple	Bakery	Bakery	10198 US Highway 31	open
Tacky Jack's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1175 Battleship Pkwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	30500-F State Hwy 181	open
The Bull	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	30500 State Hwy 181 #134	open
The Cave	Bar		7885 Pine Run	open
The Tap Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)		29001 Bass Pro Dr Ste 400	open
Traders on the Causeway	Bar		4015 Battleship Pkwy	open
Trattoria Pizza & Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	11611 US-31	open
Tulum Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	9878 Spanish Fort Blvd	open
Twist 181	Bar		30500 State Hwy 181 #710	open
Twisted Tenders Logan's Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · Chicken / wings · American	30275 Eastern Shore Ct	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	30500 AL-181	open
Wintzell's Oyster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	30500 State Highway 181	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	10179 Eastern Shore Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	8	4	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	11	7	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	11	8	6	2	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	5	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	10	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	5	1	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	10	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	12	10	9	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	9	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	20	18	16	2	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	25	23	16	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	28	28	19	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	28	28	20	3	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	28	28	19	4	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	32	32	22	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	31	31	20	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	33	32	19	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	36	35	24	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	33	32	23	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	32	31	19	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	35	34	22	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	36	34	22	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	33	31	20	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	33	31	20	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	35	33	20	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	36	34	21	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	42	40	26	10	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	39	36	23	9	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36527. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.