BMIE Market 36605

Mobile County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,104 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,603 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,538 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±612 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	30,111 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,914 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$43,538 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,787 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,068 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$99,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,685 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36605
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-37.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	12 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36605. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.4	54	40%	+21.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.9	47	35%	+16.4
Market Momentum Score	12.4	12	25%	+3.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,104	85	40%	+34.1
Median household income (ACS)	43,538	8	40%	+3.4
Households (ACS)	9,538	85	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-23.1	13	35%	+4.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.0	95	25%	+23.7
Population (ACS)	25,104	85	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	43,538	8	20%	+1.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 12 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	-23.1	13	30%	+3.8
20-year restaurant growth	-44.4	7	20%	+1.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 8 · Seafood 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chinese 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bar 8 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annette's Yummy For Your Tummy Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1376 E Riviera Dr	open
Ash & Oak Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	Alabama Relocation Services, 1606 Midway Ave	open
Bama Bob's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3758 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Bayou Lounge	Bar			open
Captain Ed's Dog River Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6036 Rock Point Rd	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1965 Dauphin Island Pkwy Mobile, AL	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3004 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1250 Michigan Ave	open
Cravin Cajun	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	D I P	open
D I P Snack Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3303 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
D.i.p. Seafood, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1870 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Decam Lounge	Bar		1270 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Dip Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	3804 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Garrett & Stephanies Dawg River House	Bar		3122 Marcia Dr	open
Gone Fishin'cat Fish Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1866 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Hollywood Wing Station	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	1006 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Home	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Honeybunch Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Food truck		1654 Belfast St	open
Johnson’s CAFE	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies	3758 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Kimmie's Sweet Treats	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	Navco rd	open
King Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian · American	2510 McVay Dr N	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2100 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
La Rumba Night Club	Bar		2301 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2852 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3116 Dauphin Island Pky	open
Michigan Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1210 Michigan Ave	open
Midway Lounge	Bar		1370 Navco Rd	open
Mobile Chop Suey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1458 Duval St	open
Mr. J's Real Deal Rolling Grill	Catering · Quick service	BBQ	3303 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Mudbugs-D.I.P. Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1870 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Navco Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1368 1/2 Navco Rd	open
P & T Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1318 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2601 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Plaza Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
Poinse’s Lounge	Bar		1441 Navco Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1725 Dauphin Island Pky	open
Sugafoot Southern Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2301 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
The Dock Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6036 Rock Point Rd	open
The River Shack Restaurant & Oyster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	6120 Marina Dr S	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1754 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Wild Wing Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	2212 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open
Zebra Club	Bar		2343 Dauphin Island Pkwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	16	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	20	15	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	23	17	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	19	14	7	6	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	20	15	8	6	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	20	16	9	6	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	23	19	10	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	20	16	7	8	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	23	18	9	9	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	23	18	11	7	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	21	17	10	7	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	19	15	8	7	—	4	NAICS2002
2007	21	15	9	6	—	6	NAICS2002
2008	20	15	8	7	—	5	NAICS2007
2009	21	16	9	7	—	5	NAICS2007
2010	22	18	10	8	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	18	16	7	8	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	5	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	21	13	5	8	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	16	13	6	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	7	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	16	14	6	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	13	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	—	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	—	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36605. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
36615	2.3 mi	1	2012
36693	3.8 mi	10	2023
36606	4.7 mi	56	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.