BMIE Market 36877

Lee County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,134 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,309 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,805 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±358 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,414 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,752 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,103 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,902 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,182 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±91 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$224,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,584 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36877
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+116.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+116.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+85.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+333.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.52) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36877. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.52, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.8	69	40%	+27.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.0	79	35%	+27.6
Market Momentum Score	93.0	93	25%	+23.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,134	76	40%	+30.3
Median household income (ACS)	78,103	59	40%	+23.8
Households (ACS)	4,805	74	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	116.7	95	35%	+33.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.2	75	25%	+18.8
Population (ACS)	14,134	76	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	78,103	59	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	116.7	98	50%	+49.0
10-year restaurant growth	116.7	95	30%	+28.4
20-year restaurant growth	85.7	78	20%	+15.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · BBQ 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Quick service 8 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annillo's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	15405 US-280	open
Bama Jama BBQ Take Out Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ	200 Lee Road 386	open
Campark Ice LLC	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	215 Lee Road 430	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	747 Lee Rd. 248	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	747 Lee Road 248	open
Howie's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	9483 Lee Road 246	open
Howie's Cafe & Patisserie	Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	9109-9153 Mullin Rd	open
Jack's Family Restaurant Jack's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	18901 U S Hwy. 280 E	open
JR's Steakhouse Downtown Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	9571 Lee County 246	open
Mamee's Kitchen Authentic Jamaican Cuisine and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	16583 US-280	open
Mike and Eds Bar B Q	Quick service		841 Lee Road 222	open
Mike And Eds Of Smiths	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	lee road 430	open
Mul's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	9063 Lee Road 246 Ste 6	open
Panther Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	110 Vann Rd	open
Panther Perk	Coffee shop	Coffee	4228 Panther Parkway	open
Papa's Grande	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	122 Lee Road 386	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		361 Lee Road	open
Poco Locos Mexican Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	122 Lee Road 562	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2388 Lee Rd 430	open
T.R.Grubbs	Café · Quick service	American · Coffee	15405 US Highway 280 E	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	5	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	5	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	9	7	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36877. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.