BMIE Market 37080

Davidson County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,844 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±729 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,384 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,152 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$87,963 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,097 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,050 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$333,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,540 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	49.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37080
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37080. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68	68	40%	+27.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.9	62	35%	+21.7
Market Momentum Score	62.4	62	25%	+15.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,844	65	40%	+26.1
Median household income (ACS)	87,963	71	40%	+28.5
Households (ACS)	3,056	67	20%	+13.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.2	60	25%	+14.9
Population (ACS)	6,844	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	87,963	71	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 5 · Mexican 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
41A Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	6165 Clarksville Pike	open
Beck's Farmhouse Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8099 Whites Creek Pike	open
Big Moes Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1280 Jackson Felts Rd	open
Cafe Ricco	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Country Junction Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	225 Gifford Pl	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Heritage Travel Center, 7201b Whites Creek Pike	open
dakota's coffee shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5538 Clarksville Pike	open
Firecracker's Pizza Joelton	Bar	Pizza	215 Gifford Pl	open
Friend's Bar & Grill	Bar		5546 Clarksville Pike	open
Goody's Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	5528 Clarksville Pike	open
Granddaddy’s Famous Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5546 Clarksville Pike	open
Hunts Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7201A Whites Creek Pike	open
Jardin Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1280 Jackson Felts Rd	open
Joelton Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	211 Gifford Pl	open
Karishma Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7201 Whites Creek Pike	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7250 Whites Creek Pike	open
La Michoacana Joelton	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7158 Whites Creek Pike	open
Lojo's - Looking Glass	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Bakery	5445 Highway 41A	open
Maz. Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7246 Whites Creek Pike	open
Mazatlan Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7246 Whites Creek Pike	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6451 Eatons Creek Rd	open
Rogers Ranch & Chicken Shangri-la	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7201 Whites Creek Pike	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7216 Whites Creek Pike	open
Taco Tico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1002 Ridge Cir	open
The Vintage Bean Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1259 Jackson Felts Rd	open
Triple T's Food with Favor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American		open
Wise Guy's BBQ and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8471 Coopertown Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	9	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37080. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.