BMIE Market 37086
Rutherford County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 38,872 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±525 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,887 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±545 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 31,513 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,274 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $78,857 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,738 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,811 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±139 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $303,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,697 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 24.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37086 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +37.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +131.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +208.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 41 (range 38–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.88) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37086. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.88, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.8 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75.9 | 76 | 35% | +26.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 77.0 | 77 | 25% | +19.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 38,872 | 93 | 40% | +37.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 78,857 | 61 | 40% | +24.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,887 | 91 | 20% | +18.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 37.0 | 76 | 35% | +26.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.5 | 74 | 25% | +18.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 38,872 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 78,857 | 61 | 20% | +12.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15.6 | 74 | 50% | +36.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 37.0 | 76 | 30% | +22.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 131.3 | 87 | 20% | +17.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (87)
By cuisine
Mexican 15 · Latin American (other) 14 · Asian 9 · Pizza 9 · American 8 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Thai 5 · Italian 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Caribbean 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Greek 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Breakfast 1 · European 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 23 · Bakery 7 · Bar 7 · Dessert 6 · Food truck 5 · Casual dining 4 · Other 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-Stop Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5227 Murfreesboro Rd | open | |
| 2 Pickles | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Sandwiches · Mexican | 111 DICK BUCHANAN ST STE | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 515 Waldron Rd | open |
| Arroz y Chap Suy el Catracho | Quick service | 323 Fergus Rd | open | |
| B&rs Enterprise Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5141 Murfreesboro Rd | open | |
| Blue Diamond Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 414 Old Nashville Hwy | open | |
| Bojangles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5521 Murfreesboro Rd | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5099 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| C.R. Noodle House Lao & Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 5270 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Cairo Gyro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 500 Waldron Rd | open |
| Checkers Checkers and Rally's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5062 Murfreesboro Rd. LaVergne, TN | open |
| Chez Lama Haitian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1333 Nicole Ln | open |
| Chon Tong (Thai Cafe) Tennessee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 5094 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Cocina de Paty | Food truck · Quick service | Latin American (other) | 1501 Pearcy St | open |
| Cool Runnings Lavergne Tn | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 5328 Murfreesboro Rd | open | |
| D's Home Cooking | Quick service | 574 Waldron Rd | open | |
| De Mi Campo Restaurant LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · American | 400b Old Nashville Hwy | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 5094 A Murfreesboro Road | open |
| Don carbon Don Carbón | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 13001 Old Hickory Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5285 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| El Buen Sabor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5428 New Nashville Hwy | open |
| El Pollito Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings | 493 Waldron Rd | open |
| El Rodeo Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 5129 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Fat Mo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 562 Waldron Rd #2 | open |
| Fortune Express Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5197 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Greek Gyro Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 562 Waldron Rd | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 508 Waldron Rd | open |
| Harrison's Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 173 Stones River Rd | open | |
| Hennessy Industries Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1601 JP Hennessey Dr | open | |
| Insta’Grab HotDogs & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3218 Barksdale Cir | open |
| Joses Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 405 Old Nashville Hwy | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5001 Murfreesboro Road | open |
| Kool Runnings Jamaican Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 5238 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5022 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5540 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Krystal | Quick service | 522 Waldron Road | open | |
| La Michoacana | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5270 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| La Migueleña Panaderia Pasteleria & Pupuseria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 5231 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| La Salvadorena Bakery and Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 5094 Murfreesboro Rd Ste f | open |
| La Super Michoacana | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 590 Waldron Rd | open |
| Larry's Ultralounge | Bar | 2572 Murfreesboro Rd # 5000 | open | |
| Lil Thai Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 568 Waldron Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5116 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Los Agaveros Mexican Grill and Bar | Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5179 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Los Antojitos Tropicales | Dessert | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5428 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Mama Turney's | Bakery | Bakery | 155 Jones Blvd Bldg F | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5299 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Margarita House LaVergne Margarita House Mexican Restaurant - Smyrna, TN | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 580 Waldron Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5147 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 505 Waldron Rd | open |
| Memories Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 574 Waldron Rd | open | |
| Mexichina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Asian | 3000 W Nir Shreibman Blvd | open |
| Mixed Grill Gyros | Other | Sandwiches · Mediterranean · Greek | 5118 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Nashville, TN Krystal | Quick service | 2671 Murfreesboro Rd | open | |
| Olgas Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 594 Waldron Rd | open |
| Panadería y Pastelería Bizcochito Lavergne | Bakery | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 5500 Murfreesboro Rd Ste 500 | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express | Quick service | 5325 Murfreesboro Rd | open | |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5163 murfreesboro road | open |
| Pizza & Gyro Party | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · Greek | 5500 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5088 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 121 Charter Place | open | |
| Rancho Cantina 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1925 Madison Square Blvd | open |
| Red Lobster | Quick service | 5088 Murfreesboro Rd | open | |
| Reina's Cake | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3105 Gibson Cove | open |
| Roma pizza and pasta Smyrna Tennessee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 156 Jones Mill Rd | open |
| Shun Cheong Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 582 Waldron Rd | open |
| Sir Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 562 Waldron Rd | open |
| Sir Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1925 Madison Square Blvd | open |
| Slush Puppies | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 265 Mason Rd | open |
| Smokin' Buttz BBQ | Food truck · Catering | BBQ | open | |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5210 Murfreesboro Road | open |
| Soul Rocker's Lava Lounge and Barefoot Bar | Bar · Casual dining | open | ||
| Sub Station II | Other | Sandwiches | 5125 Murfreesboro Rd Ste 5163 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5068 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5511 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 535 Waldron Road | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 5143 Murfreesboro Rd. | open |
| Tacos charly estilo tijuana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5264 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Tacos el viejon | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 110 Chatham Ct | open | |
| Taqueria Ciudad de Mexico | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Mexican | 5252 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Taqueria Los Agaveros La Vergne TN | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5207 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Thai Lao Bamboo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Chinese · Asian | 331 Waldron Rd | open |
| Thai Siam Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 3016 Nir Shreibman Blvd | open |
| Torch Cigar Lounge | Bar | 3028 Nir Shreibman Blvd | open | |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 108 Enterprise Blvd | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 5511 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
| Wings On | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5159 Murfreesboro Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 9 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 18 | 16 | 4 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 26 | 12 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 23 | 22 | 10 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 25 | 11 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 26 | 13 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 25 | 11 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 25 | 8 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 27 | 9 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 30 | 28 | 9 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 31 | 27 | 8 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 19 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 36 | 32 | 9 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 39 | 35 | 13 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 42 | 36 | 13 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 33 | 10 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 44 | 37 | 10 | 23 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |