BMIE Market 37135
Williamson County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,409 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,605 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,827 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 9,681 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,314 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $148,819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,341 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±286 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $672,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,239 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 36.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37135 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +73.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +116.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +1,200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +2,500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 38 (range 33–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.9 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 90 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 95 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37135. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 90 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.6 | 89 | 40% | +35.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 86.7 | 87 | 35% | +30.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 95.1 | 95 | 25% | +23.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,409 | 85 | 40% | +33.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 148,819 | 96 | 40% | +38.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,827 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 116.7 | 95 | 35% | +33.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.7 | 70 | 25% | +17.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,409 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 148,819 | 96 | 20% | +19.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 95 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 73.3 | 94 | 50% | +46.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 116.7 | 95 | 30% | +28.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 1,200 | 100 | 20% | +19.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (75)
By cuisine
American 11 · Coffee 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Mexican 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · BBQ 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Dessert 11 · Quick service 10 · Coffee shop 9 · Bakery 7 · Café 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31A Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 7240 Nolensville Rd Ste 304 | open |
| Abbott's Frozen Custard Abbott's Frozen Custard | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 7344 Nolensville Rd #201 | open |
| Amico's New York Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 7177 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Battleground Smokes and Spirits | Bar | 7240 Nolensville Rd Ste 203 | open | |
| Blue Bell Creameries Blue Bell Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 7215 Haley Industrial Dr | open |
| Blunt Manor | Bar | Catalina Way | open | |
| Brothers' | Bar · Casual dining | Burgers | 7240 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Cabos Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7336 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Campo Azul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7240 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 7344 Nolensville Rd | open | |
| Churchill’s British Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 7180 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Cornell Brothers Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 7332 Nolensville Rd Ste 304 | open |
| Daisy Mays | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7292 Nolensville Rd | open | |
| Filingo Fly Fishing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 834 Battle Rd | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 7350 Nolensville Rd Ste 101 | open |
| Happenstance Social Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7180 Nolensville Rd Ste 1G | open | |
| Harris And Yu Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7340 Nolensville Rd | open | |
| Highway 55 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | open | |
| Hoss' Loaded Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 7028 Nolensville Rd | open |
| House of Bread - Nolensville | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Bakery · Juice / smoothies | 7186 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Hwy 55 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Burgers · American | 7240 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Ingrained Café | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 2000A Oak Trail Dr | open |
| Itty Bitty Donuts & Specialty Coffee | Coffee shop · Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 7311-B, Nolensville Rd | open |
| Jeff's Bagel Run Jeff's Bagel Run | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 7344 Nolensville Rd suite 301 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 7344 Nolensville Rd Suite 704 | open |
| Just Love Coffee Cafe Just Love Coffee Cafe | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 7216 Nolensville Rd Ste 110 | open |
| Kali’s Donuts & More | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 7186 Nolensville Rd Suite A | open |
| Keriyaki Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 7180 Nolensville Rd Ste 2D | open |
| Lokales Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 7332 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Mad for Galbi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · BBQ · Asian | 7340 Nolensville Rd Ste 105 | open |
| Mama's Java Cafe | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 305 Sheldon Valley Dr | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 7180 Nolensville Rd, Ste 1H | open |
| Martin's Bar-B-Que Joint | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 7223 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Martin's Bbq Joint | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7238 Nolensville Rd | open | |
| McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1008 Gant Hill Drive | open |
| Mill Creek Taproom Nolensville | Brewery / taproom | 2008B Johnson Industrial Blvd | open | |
| MJ Roasting | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 305 Sheldon Valley Dr | open |
| Mojo’s Tacos - Nolensville Mojo's Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7263 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Monamie Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · European | 7028 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7344 Nolensville Rd Suite 602 | open |
| Mrs. Sourdough Organic Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2000C Oak Trail Dr | open |
| Music City Coffee Club | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7301 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Nolen's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7240 Nolensville Rd Ste 101 | open | |
| Nolensville Feed Mill llc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 7280 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Oscar's Taco Shop Oscar's Taco Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7177 Nolensville Rd #1a | open |
| Outlanders Southern Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · Chicken / wings · American | 7215 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Pandy Cotton Candy & Sweets | Dessert | 7180 Nolensville Rd Ste 1 | open | |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 305 sheldon valley drive | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7240 Nolensville Rd. Williamson | open |
| Pony Express Business Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7171 Nolensville Rd Ste 105 | open | |
| Pork Belly Farmhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7263 Nolensville Rd Bldg 4 | open | |
| Proverbial Cup Espresso Catering | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2751 Henry Allen Ln | open |
| Rice To Meet You | Casual dining · Bar | Thai · Japanese | open | |
| Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7171 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Sdi, Nolensville, Tn, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7230 Nolensville Rd | open | |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7230 Nolensville Road | open |
| Steam Boys Steam Boys | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian · American | 3 Burkitt Commons Ave | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 305 Sheldon Valley Dr | open |
| Sweet CeCe's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 7180 Nolensville Rd #1a | open |
| Sweet G | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery | 812 Delaware Ct | open |
| Sweet Moo’s Rolled Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7340 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Taziki's Mediterranean Cafe Taziki's Mediterranean Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Greek | 7221 Nolensville Rd | open |
| That Ice Cream Place | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7207 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Titos Mexican Restaurant Tito's Mexican Restaurant - Spring Hill, TN | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3 Burkitt Commons Ave Ste 315 | open |
| TN Smoke and Smash | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 9665 Clovercroft Rd | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Quick service | 7344 Nolensville Road | open | |
| Ugadi Indian Grill - Nolensville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 515 Burkitt Commons Ave | open |
| Uncle Bud's Catfish Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 7215 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Village Tea and Treats (VillageT) | Dessert · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 7340 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Wabash Southern Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 7301 Nolensville Rd | open |
| West Coast Burgers and Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Hot dogs · American | 7175 Nolensville Rd | open |
| Wheeler's Raid Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2007 Johnson Industrial Blvd | open | |
| Yuno Sushi & Asian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 7175 Nolensville Rd Ste 110 | open |
| Mc Investors Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2008B Johnson Industrial Blvd | closed | |
| Wings To Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7180 Nolensville Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 24 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 29 | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
| ZCTA | Distance | Restaurants | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37014 | 3.8 mi | 3 | 2022 |