BMIE Market 37138

Davidson County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,575 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,708 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±458 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,191 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,482 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$85,149 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,799 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,526 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$363,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,885 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37138
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+69.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+266.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 23–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37138. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.6	78	40%	+31.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.2	75	35%	+26.3
Market Momentum Score	71.5	71	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,575	83	40%	+33.4
Median household income (ACS)	85,149	68	40%	+27.3
Households (ACS)	9,708	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	35%	+26.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.8	73	25%	+18.3
Population (ACS)	22,575	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	85,149	68	20%	+13.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	37.5	76	30%	+22.8
20-year restaurant growth	69.2	74	20%	+14.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

Coffee 12 · American 10 · Mexican 9 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Thai 3 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · French 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Bar 17 · Casual dining 13 · Quick service 11 · Coffee shop 10 · Dessert 6 · Café 5 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Catering 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5 Agaves Mexican Restaurant Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1508 Robinson Rd	open
Bang Bang Hibachi Express Old Hickory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	504 Hadley Vlg Blvd	open
Bicyclette Cafe & Wine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	14801 Lebanon Rd	open
Blazed and Confused	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		14200 Lebanon Rd	open
BODHI Asian Street Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	14801 Lebanon Rd	open
Bottle And Barrel	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4957 Lebanon Pike	open
BRIÒ Gelateria and Caffè	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	15325 Lebanon Rd	open
Burger & Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	700 Hadley Ave	open
Califarmia	Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 Center St	open
Camino Viejo Mexican Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1433 Robinson Rd	open
Cancun Market	Quick service	Mexican	4705 Old Hickory Blvd	open
Cars and Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1508 Robinson Rd	open
Chicken Real Catering	Catering · Quick service	Chicken / wings	15301 Lebanon Rd	open
China Ming	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	15311 Lebanon Rd	open
Chopper's Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1200 Donelson Ave	open
Chulitos panaderia y taqueria	Bakery	Mexican · Bakery	15311 Lebanon Rd	open
Cinco de Mayo Mexican Restaurant Cinco de Mayo Mexican Restaurant-Hermitage	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	14795 Lebanon Rd	open
Cnk Partnership, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14833 Lebanon Rd	open
Country Casseroles and Prepared Foods LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	American	14825 Lebanon Rd	open
Crossroads Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		333 Swinging Bridge Rd	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1508 Robinson Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	512 Hadley Village Blvd	open
Dose Dose Coffee and Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	700 Hadley Ave	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Quick service · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	14835 Lebanon Rd Coolview Commons	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	511 Hadley Village Blvd	open
El Ok Corral Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	14841 Lebanon Rd	open
Flat Tire Diner	Casual dining	American	4700 Old Hickory Blvd	open
Grandaddy's Original Hot Chicken Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3838 Old Hickory Blvd	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1436 Robinson Rd	open
Helen's Hot Chicken Mt Juliet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	14833 Lebanon Pike	open
Hickory Sticks Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3939 Old Hickory Blvd	open
Horny Toad Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		1000 Horny Ln	open
Hydration Station - Rainbow Nutrition Madison	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1501 Robinson Rd	open
Jose's Sandwich & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	14801 Lebanon Rd	open
Kona Ice of North Nashville Kona Ice	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Services Available In: Old Hickory, Madison, Inglewood, Goodlettsville, Hendersonville, White House, Whites Creek, Nashville	open
La Victoria Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14795 Lebanon Rd	open
Lil Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4617 Old Hickory Blvd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14819 Lebanon Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1252 Robinson Rd	open
Meatballs Italian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	14805 Lebanon Rd	open
Melani's Cafe Catering	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Italian	14803 Lebanon Rd	open
Mumu's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	4329 Saundersville Rd	open
Nashville Ice Cream Truck Rentals - Mean Green Ice Cream Machine	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	14824 Lebanon Rd	open
Nica Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1433 Robinson Rd	open
No. 1 Chinese Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1435 Robinson Rd	open
Nyumba Cafe	Buffet		401 Center St	open
Nyumba Food Service Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 Center St	open
Nyumbarista \| Center Street	Coffee shop	Coffee	401 Center St	open
Old Hickory Bistro	Casual dining		3838 Old Hickory Blvd Ste G	open
Old Hickory Market	Bar		1513 Robinson Rd	open
Old Hickory Pizza & Pub	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	1051 Donelson Ave	open
Pan No.1 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1435 Robinson Rd	open
Pasquale Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14805 Lebanon Rd	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1500 Robinson Road, Mapco Ste 7546	open
Pooky Jane's Kitchen and Pub	Casual dining · Bar		4957 Lebanon Pike	open
Quiznos	Quick service		4337 Saundersville Rd	open
Rack & Tap Bar & Grill	Bar		14805 Lebanon Rd	open
Rayon City Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	224 Bridgeway Ave	open
Roadside Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		4617 Old Hickory Blvd	open
Sen-Der By Smiley Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	15301 Lebanon Rd	open
Shanti's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	15277 Lebanon Rd	open
SIMPLY THAI Simply Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3418 Old Hickory Blvd	open
Sir Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4969 Lebanon Pike	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1410 Robinson Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1427 Robinson Rd	open
Summit Sisters Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1510 Robinson Rd	open
Taqueria Vallarta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4730 Old Hickory Blvd	open
Tavern at the village	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	501 Hadley Vlg Blvd	open
The Black Pearl at Blackjack Cove Sam's Place - Blue Turtle Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	2001 Lakeshore Dr	open
The Candied Rib Company	Dessert		2535 Edinburgh St	open
The Grilled Cheeserie	Food truck		Mobile	open
The Lucky Rooster	Bar	Burgers · American	5234 Saundersville Rd	open
The Retardaway Mansion	Bar		307 28th St	open
The Tavern at Cool View	Bar		14803 Lebanon Rd	open
Uncommon Grounds of Old Hickory	Coffee shop	Coffee	1053 Donelson Ave	open
West Wilson Coffee Club	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
World Famous Joyce Ann's Pool & Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	17	13	5	8	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	19	16	10	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	15	12	5	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	16	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	20	16	7	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	6	9	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	20	16	7	8	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	26	21	10	11	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	19	16	6	9	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	17	16	6	8	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	19	17	6	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	18	17	7	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	16	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	18	16	9	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	18	17	8	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	6	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	21	11	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	22	21	11	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	20	9	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	20	8	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	23	11	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	23	12	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	21	11	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37138. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.