BMIE Market 37179

Williamson County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,043 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,771 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,918 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±546 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,767 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,140 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$136,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,107 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$570,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,730 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	53.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37179
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+500.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1999 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2012–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.79) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	93 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	97 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37179. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2012–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.79, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.9	85	40%	+34.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	93	93	35%	+32.6
Market Momentum Score	97.0	97	25%	+24.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,043	80	40%	+31.9
Median household income (ACS)	136,188	94	40%	+37.7
Households (ACS)	5,918	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	35%	+34.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.3	97	25%	+24.2
Population (ACS)	18,043	80	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	136,188	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 97 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+48.0
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	30%	+29.2
20-year restaurant growth	500	99	20%	+19.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 2 · Coffee 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1819 Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4683 Columbia Pike	open
Chief and Honey's Scoops Sweets & Gifts	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2101 Branford Pl Ste 102	open
Circa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1549 Thompson Station Rd W	open
Company Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		1557 Thompson Station Rd W	open
Ground Restaurant Food Truck - Tollgate Village	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2201 Portsmouth Dr	open
Jackson's Sweet Tea Cottage - Vacation Rental	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	3758 Robinson Rd	open
MoeBetter Barbecue Fish and Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	4709 Traders Way	open
Mojo's Tacos - Tollgate Mojo's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2000 Tollgate Blvd #201	open
MPP’s Steakhouse and Saloon	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse	1577 Bunbury Dr	open
Settlers Coffee and Provisions	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1990 Tollgate Blvd	open
Shaved Ice Shack	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 Sina Ct	open
Station Ventures Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1549 Thompson Station Rd W	open
The Pasta Bar Company	Food truck			open
Village Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1990 Tollgate Blvd #109	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1999	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	1	—	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	3	2	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	6	3	2	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	4	3	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	7	4	3	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	4	2	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	2	2	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	2	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37179. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.