BMIE Market 37228
Davidson County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 2,585 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±536 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,812 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 1,160 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 625 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $60,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,529 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 27.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,518 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±320 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | Data source not yet connected |
| Land area | 1.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37228 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 60.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +87.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +150.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +150.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 21 (range 17–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37228. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 43.8 | 44 | 40% | +17.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 49.3 | 49 | 35% | +17.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 91.2 | 91 | 25% | +22.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 2,585 | 50 | 40% | +19.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,378 | 30 | 40% | +12.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,812 | 59 | 20% | +11.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 87.5 | 90 | 35% | +31.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 58.0 | 8 | 25% | +2.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 2,585 | 50 | 20% | +9.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 60,378 | 30 | 20% | +6.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 66.7 | 93 | 50% | +46.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 87.5 | 90 | 30% | +26.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 150 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (32)
By cuisine
American 7 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Quick service 12 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arby's | Quick service | 2044 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open | |
| Casa Agave Metro Center | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 261 Venture Cir | open |
| Centerstone Research Institute (cri) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 44 Vantage Way | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 2120 Rosa L Parks Blvd suite 105 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2032 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2036 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| From the Heart Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 2298 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Guidance Whiskey | Winery / distillery / taproom | 810 Dominican Dr | open | |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2050 Rosa Parks Blvd | open |
| Laredo Taco Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2022 Rosa Parks Blvd | open | |
| Marco Polos Pizza and Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Halal / kosher · Burgers · Italian | 2290 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Maxwell's Lounge | Bar | 2025 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 801 Vantage Way Ct | open |
| Monique's Home Style Cooking | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 451 Ponder Pl | open |
| Neely's Bar-B-Que | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2292 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Nobles Central-Metro Center | Bar · Casual dining | 2292 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open | |
| Pizza Hut Express Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Mexican | 2101 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Praline's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2025 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Purity's Moosic City Dairy Dash | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2214 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Second Harvest Food Bank | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 566 Mainstream Dr | open | |
| Shoney's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2030 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Smoothie King Smoothie King | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2040 Rosa L Parks | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 515 Dominican Dr | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2120 Rosa L. Parks Blvd | open |
| Sukka Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2220 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| The Coffee Truck | Food truck | open | ||
| The Original Kebab Gyros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Greek | 2288 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Transcon Trading Company Dba Jersey Mikes Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2050 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 802 Vantage Way Ct | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 2048 Rosa L. Parks Blvd. | open |
| Zulema's Kitchen at Watkins | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2298 Rosa L Parks Blvd | open |
| Honky Tonk Brewing | Brewery / taproom | 240 Cumberland Bnd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 8 | 6 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 9 | 6 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 7 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 11 | 7 | — | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 10 | 7 | — | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 11 | 7 | — | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 10 | 7 | — | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 10 | 7 | — | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 10 | 7 | — | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 10 | 8 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 12 | 9 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 14 | 10 | — | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 15 | 13 | — | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 16 | 15 | — | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 17 | 16 | — | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 16 | 15 | — | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |