BMIE Market 37317

Polk County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,582 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,169 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,403 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,335 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$72,371 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$693 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±217 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$151,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61,730 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	75.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37317
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+66.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 4–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.34) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37317. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.34, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.5	51	40%	+20.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.4	53	35%	+18.7
Market Momentum Score	62.6	63	25%	+15.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,582	50	40%	+19.8
Median household income (ACS)	72,371	51	40%	+20.3
Households (ACS)	1,169	52	20%	+10.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.4	39	25%	+9.7
Population (ACS)	2,582	50	20%	+9.9
Median household income (ACS)	72,371	51	20%	+10.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	20%	+2.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Dessert 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Bar 10 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Café 2 · Quick service 2 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bar 21	Bar		116 Grand Ave	open
Border Brew & Bites	Coffee shop · Casual dining · Café	Coffee · American	106 Grand Ave	open
Buck Bald Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		160 Ocoee St	open
Copper Ale Station	Bar		120 Grand Ave	open
Copper Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1529 Highway 68	open
Copperhill Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		155 Ocoee St	open
El Rio Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	113 Ocoee St	open
Habanero's Fresh Tex Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	120 Ocoee St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	5088 Highway 64	open
Hwy 64 Gym	Bar · Casual dining		5800 US-64	open
JJ's Copper Basin Lounge	Bar		123 Grand Ave	open
Meraki Souq	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Middle Eastern · Sandwiches	110 Ocoee St	open
Mexico Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	107 Ocoee St	open
Rusty Roof Fish Camp	Casual dining · Bar	American	330 W Tennessee Ave	open
Sahara Club	Casual dining · Bar		5495 US-64	open
Sip 'N' Dip	Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 Grand Ave	open
Sweet Emmaline Cheesecakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	121 Ocoee St	open
The Copper Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	109 Ocoee St	open
The Waterfront Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		205 Ocoee St	open
Thirsty Turtle Tavern	Bar · Casual dining			open
WattsUp Rollin Grub	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	155 Ocoee St B	open
Wild Flour Bakehouse	Bakery	Bakery	169 Herring Dr	open
Yellowbird Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	103 Grand Ave	open
Yellowbird Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	103 Grand Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	6	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	5	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	5	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37317. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37326	3.4 mi	1	2016
30555	4.5 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.