BMIE Market 37659

Washington County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,080 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,906 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±675 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,585 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,938 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,110 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,008 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$249,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,737 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	126.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37659
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+133.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 22–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37659. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.6	73	40%	+29.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.0	64	35%	+22.4
Market Momentum Score	69.3	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,080	88	40%	+35.3
Median household income (ACS)	71,110	49	40%	+19.5
Households (ACS)	11,906	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	35%	+18.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.6	74	25%	+18.4
Population (ACS)	29,080	88	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	71,110	49	20%	+9.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	30%	+15.6
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 9 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Italian 5 · Sandwiches 4 · BBQ 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 14 · Coffee shop 8 · Café 6 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amigo Mexican Restaurant Amigo East Ridge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5198, 125 E Jackson Blvd #1	open
Another Touch Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	103 Fox St	open
Apple Creek Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	211 Forest Cir	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	405 E Jackson Blvd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1196 East Jackson Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	100 E Jackson Blvd	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1531 E Jackson Blvd	open
Cloey’s Sweet Shop	Bakery	Bakery	24 Vesta Sue Ct	open
Cook Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)		150 N Lincoln Ave	open
Corner Company Beverage Emporium	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	148 E Main St	open
Dar Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1003 E Jackson Blvd Ste 4	open
Depot Street Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		904 Depot St	open
Dionysus Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2078 Fordtown Rd	open
Downtown Beauty Lounge	Bar		107 Courthouse Sq	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	141 Boone St	open
Fisher's NY Style Pizza And More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1011 Nation Trail	open
Gourmet to Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)		430 Elmer Walker Rd	open
Graciemadeitbakery	Bakery	Bakery	Birds Eye Veiw	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	395 East Jackson Blvd	open
Harmony Vineyards & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		300 Dana Bacon Dr	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1519 Highway 81 N	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3401 Highway 81 South	open
Jackson's Prime	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	111 W Main St	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	900 E Jackson Blvd	open
Jonesboro Pizza Parlor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	416 E Jackson Blvd	open
Jonesborough Barrel House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 E Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1000 W Jackson Blvd	open
Main Street Cafe and Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	117 W Main St	open
Manna Sandwich shop	Other	Sandwiches	101 E Main St, Jonesborough, TN 37659-1317, United States	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	506 Boones Creek Rd	open
Mckinney Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 Franklin Ave	open
Moore D's Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1531 E Jackson Blvd	open
My Abuela’s kitchen	Delivery-focused	Caribbean	3542 W Market St	open
Neuma Coffee	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	105 Fox St	open
Old Town Dairy Bar	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	412 W Jackson Blvd	open
Olde Towne Pancake House and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	142 Boone St	open
Orze Enterprises Partnership	Restaurant (service type not stated)		211 Headtown Rd	open
Over-Mountain Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	205 N 3rd Ave	open
Pal's Sudden Service Pal's Church Hill	Quick service	Burgers · American	1200 E Jackson Blvd	open
Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	900 E Jackson Blvd	open
Phils Dream Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2303 Wynwood Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	500 Forest Drive Washington	open
Pizza Plus Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	211 Headtown Rd	open
Rocky's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1003 E Jackson Blvd	open
Rooster Rob's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2544 TN-81 Scenic	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1504 E Jackson Blvd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1200 W Jackson Blvd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	500 Forest Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	101 East Jackson Boulevard	open
Swifty Pig BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1301 Gray Station Sulphur Springs Road	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	705 E. Jackson Blvd.	open
Tea Pad	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	107 E Main St	open
Tennessee Hills Distillery Tennessee Hills Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar		127 Fox St	open
Texas Burritos & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	109 Courthouse Sq	open
The Black Olive	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Mediterranean	125 E Jackson Blvd	open
The Corner Cup	Coffee shop	Coffee	148 E Main St	open
The Creekside	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	109 Courthouse Sq	open
The Lollipop Shop	Dessert		129 E Main St	open
The Opossum's Tale	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 Fox St	open
The World Famous Puffin Pig	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1234 W Main St	open
Vega's Fiesta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1976 US-11E	open
VFW Post 9724 - Jonesborough, TN	Bar		2399 Highway 11 E	open
Wendy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	376 E Jackson Blvd	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service		1456 E Jackson BLVD	open
Town Of Jonesborough	Restaurant (service type not stated)		117 Boone St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	18	18	10	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	19	18	10	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	5	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	17	16	7	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	19	18	8	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	23	22	9	10	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	20	8	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	24	23	9	12	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	22	7	13	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	28	28	12	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	27	27	12	13	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	26	26	10	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	26	26	12	14	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	25	25	10	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	28	12	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	27	26	10	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	27	26	10	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	24	10	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	23	10	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	23	10	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	24	9	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	30	13	14	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	28	10	15	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37659. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37690	3.5 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.