BMIE Market 37721

Knox County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,306 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,164 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,568 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,733 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,407 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,892 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,918 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$973 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±70 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$233,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,065 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	49.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37721
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+400.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37721. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.0	61	40%	+24.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.2	76	35%	+26.7
Market Momentum Score	91.3	91	25%	+22.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,306	76	40%	+30.3
Median household income (ACS)	64,892	39	40%	+15.5
Households (ACS)	5,568	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.0	84	25%	+21.1
Population (ACS)	14,306	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	64,892	39	20%	+7.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42.9	88	50%	+44.1
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	400	98	20%	+19.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7501 Tazewell Pike	open
Crazy D's Bbq. Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	7507 Tazewell Pike	open
Don Jose Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	7505 Tazewell Pike NE	open
Gohan Japanese Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	7505 Tazewell Pike	open
Henry's Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	7231 Tazewell Pike	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7505 Tazewell Pike	open
Mmr Yankees, L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7237 Tazewell Pike	open
New House Mtn Mkt & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	8432 Washington Pike	open
Pike House Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	7404 Tazewell Pike	open
Rice King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7327 Tazewell Pike	open
Rocky Top Taters	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8121 Majestic View Way	open
San Gabriel, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7505 Tazewell Pike	open
Shea and Leigh Tea and Candle Company	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	7509 Tazewell Pike NE	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7333 Tazewell Pike	open
Tacolandia #2	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	8802 Tazewell Pike	open
Twister's Shakes & Sundaes The Diner at Twisters Shakes & Sundaes	Casual dining · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	7237 Tazewell Pike	open
Wrenhouse Bakery	Coffee shop	Coffee	7404 Tazewell Pike	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	3	—	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37721. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.