BMIE Market 37803

Blount County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,822 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,518 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,614 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±593 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	31,668 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,536 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,446 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,962 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,073 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$356,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,760 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	87.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37803
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2016 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 3–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2011–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37803. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2011–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.3	81	40%	+32.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.7	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	36.9	37	25%	+9.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,822	91	40%	+36.4
Median household income (ACS)	83,446	66	40%	+26.5
Households (ACS)	13,614	92	20%	+18.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	1.2	100	25%	+25.0
Population (ACS)	33,822	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	83,446	66	20%	+13.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 2 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anthony's New York Style Hotdogs	Food truck · Quick service	Hot dogs	1308 Ripley Dr	open
Banjo Moon Brewing	Brewery / taproom		2425 Graves Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1764 W Broadway Ave	open
Becky's Grocery and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3856 Laws Chapel Rd	open
Bent Branch Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining			open
Blue Goose Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		3334 Old Niles Ferry Rd	open
Butterfly Hollow Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		3066 Butterfly Hollow Rd	open
Cable's Smokehouse	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3152 Valemont Dr	open
Crustic	Bakery	Bakery	Maryville Rental Center, 1528 Broadway Ave	open
Daisy's Non-alcoholic Bar and Bottle Shop	Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	608 Ellis Ave	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2905 Wilkinson Pike	open
Infusions Café	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies		open
Law's Market and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2246 Carpenters Grade Rd	open
Little Ceasars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza		open
Loeb's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		1414 Raulston Rd	open
Maryville Corner Market	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	800 Montvale Rd	open
Naked Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	4901 Montvale Rd	open
Papa Jim's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3014 Best Rd	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1001 Ruby Tuesday Dr	open
T.C.'s Grill	Casual dining	American · Burgers	2514 Old Niles Ferry Rd	open
Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Asian	622 Condry Ln	open
Vienna Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	1813 Southcliff Dr # 1	open
Wiener Wagon	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1423 Anderson Ave	open
Oriental Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	622 Condry Ln	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	2	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	4	2	2	—	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37803. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37878	4.4 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.