BMIE Market 37821

Cocke County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,909 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,061 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,632 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±496 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,608 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,587 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$44,161 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$805 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±87 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$141,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,513 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	129.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37821
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-3.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-5.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 29–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37821. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.1	54	40%	+21.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38.9	39	35%	+13.6
Market Momentum Score	20.1	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,909	84	40%	+33.5
Median household income (ACS)	44,161	9	40%	+3.6
Households (ACS)	9,632	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	35%	+6.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.0	57	25%	+14.2
Population (ACS)	22,909	84	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	44,161	9	20%	+1.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.9	22	50%	+11.0
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	30%	+5.3
20-year restaurant growth	-3.0	19	20%	+3.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (98)

By cuisine

American 31 · Pizza 11 · Burgers 7 · Coffee 7 · Mexican 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Italian 4 · Japanese 4 · Steakhouse 4 · BBQ 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Chinese 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 56 · Quick service 20 · Bar 19 · Casual dining 16 · Café 7 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 in 1 Frozen Creamery	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · BBQ	322 W Broadway	open
423 Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	512 W Broadway St	open
865 Sports Bar	Bar	American	2130 Highway 160	open
Aj's By the Water	Casual dining · Bar		1459 Highway 25 E	open
Andy's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	571 W Broadway	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	822 Cosby Hwy	open
Audrey's Sports Bar	Bar		1156 US-25W	open
Back to the Garden Deli and Smoothie Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	331 Cosby Hwy	open
Barbarosa Saloon	Bar			open
Batter Up Chicken Co.	Food truck		1421 Dixie Hwy	open
Big Al's Bent Creek BBQ & Catering	Catering	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3739 Point Pleasant Rd	open
Big Boy’s Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	708 Cosby Hwy	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	104 Epley Road	open
Bryant Town Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	723 Cosby Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	836 Cosby Hwy	open
Cancun Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1140 W US-25W	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1129 Smokey Mountain Ln	open
China 1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	133 Western Plaza Dr	open
Cocke County Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		337 Old Knoxville Highway	open
Copper Ridge Grill & Tavern	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1015 Cosby Hwy	open
Cracker Barrel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	321 Cosby Hwy	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1021 Cosby Hwy. I-40 & SR 32	open
Deans place	Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	7030 Armory Rd	open
Debbie's Drive Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	157 W Broadway	open
Dojo \| Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	587 W Broadway	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	102 Newport Town Centre	open
Duncan & Greer Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		237 E Broadway St	open
El Bandido Mexican Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	555 Morrell Springs Rd	open
Family Farm Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1311 Hwy 25/70	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	825 Cosby Hwy	open
Fox & Hounds	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	127 Fox and Hound Way	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1129 Smokey Mountain Lane	open
Grease Rack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	555 Morrell Springs Rd	open
Grill 73	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · German / Eastern European	616 TN-73	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	816 Cosby Hwy	open
Hillbilly Hibachi	Food truck	Japanese · Sushi	313 Lincoln Ave	open
Huddle House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1130 W Highway 25 70 70	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	200 Tn-160	open
Itako hibachi Japanese grill LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Japanese · American	132 Newport Town Centre	open
Itako hibachi Japanese grill LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		132 Newport Towne Ctr	open
KFC KFC	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	805 Cosby Hwy	open
Krystal Krystal	Quick service	Burgers · American	579 W Broadway	open
La Carreta Mexican Restaurant La Carreta- Frutas y Verduras	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Italian	119 W Broadway	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	140 5 Rivers Plaza Way	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Burgers · American	116 E Broadway	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	817 Cosby Rd	open
Merit Foods Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		822 Cosby Hwy	open
Milanos \| Pizza & Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	465 W Broadway St	open
Monterrey Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	130 Newport Town Centre	open
Mountain View Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1895 Highway 73	open
Newport Market and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	447 W Broadway St	open
Ole Smoky Moonshine Ole Smoky Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		400 Cherry St	open
Osaka Japanese Steak & Lobster House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	365 W Broadway	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1047 cosby hwy	open
Papa Murphy's \| Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	102 Newport Towne Center	open
People's Choice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	230 W Broadway	open
Piece A Cake Bakery by Amanda Cole	Bakery	Bakery	1086 Sunset Cir	open
Pizza at the Cove - Newport Pizza at The Cove - Sevierville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	227 E Broadway St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	802 Cosby Hwy	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		1130 US 25W	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	905 Cosby Hwy	open
Portofino Italian restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	115 Epley Rd	open
Rissa’s Restaurant + Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	571 W Broadway St	open
Round up Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1047 Cosby Hwy	open
Ruby Tuesday Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1005 Cosby Hwy	open
Ryan's Family Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1085 Cosby Hwy	open
Sagebrush Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	201 Heritage Blvd	open
Sbarro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1130 US-25W	open
Shovel Heads	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		465 Old Knoxville Hwy	open
Smoky Mountain Hemp Cafe	Café	Coffee	2591 Cosby Hwy	open
Snowbird Mountain Coffee Co. - Drive Thru	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	457 W Broadway St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	256 W Broadway	open
Southern Steel	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 Fox and Hound Way	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	416 Eastern Plaza Way	open
Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1039 Cosby Hwy	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1075 Cosby Hwy	open
Sugar Britches - Consignment Boutique	Dessert		411 W Broadway	open
Sunset Grill	Bar		706-712 Thinwood Dr	open
Sunset Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	147 US-25E	open
Sweet Southern Charm	Bakery	Bakery	243 E Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	808 Cosby Hwy	open
The Backway Inn Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		420 W Broadway St	open
The Bull's Tail	Restaurant (service type not stated)		363 E Broadway	open
The Candy Contraption Confectionary	Dessert		165 Silver Maple Way	open
The Creamery on Broadway	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	224 E Broadway St	open
The Giggling Pig NEWPORT TN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	642 W Highway 25 70	open
The Long Branch Saloon and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	465 Old Knoxville Hwy	open
The Neighborhood Beer House	Casual dining · Bar		237 E Broadway St	open
The Southland Tavern	Bar		1459 US-25 E	open
The Southland Tavern	Bar		1459-, 1499 TN-32	open
The Woodshed Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	2589 Cosby Hwy	open
Timeout Market 647 Roady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1130 W Highway 25 / 70	open
Two Amigos Rest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Spanish / tapas	301 Cosby Hwy	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1016 Cosby Hwy	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1071 Cosby Highway	open
Wonderfully Made Coffee & More	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2591 Cosby Hwy	open
Yu Lei And Xuenhaung Zhang General Partnership	Restaurant (service type not stated)		133 Western Plaza Way	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	779 Cosby HWY	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	34	34	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	32	32	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	30	29	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	36	35	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	37	33	14	18	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	37	34	12	20	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	37	35	13	20	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	38	36	13	20	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	42	36	15	19	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	39	33	14	18	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	35	31	12	18	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	42	38	18	19	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	43	39	18	20	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	40	37	17	19	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	45	42	19	21	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	44	41	20	19	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	43	40	21	17	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	40	37	20	17	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	39	36	20	16	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	38	36	20	16	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	37	35	19	16	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	39	37	21	16	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	37	35	19	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	40	38	19	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	36	34	17	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	39	37	18	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	36	16	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	37	34	16	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	33	16	15	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	32	15	16	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37821. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.