BMIE Market 37849

Knox County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,375 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,974 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,031 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±633 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,459 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,450 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,275 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,902 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,205 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±173 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$290,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,928 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	39.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37849
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+51.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+115.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+485.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	48 (range 45–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.96) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37849. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.96, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.8	80	40%	+31.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.9	75	35%	+26.2
Market Momentum Score	80.1	80	25%	+20.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,375	88	40%	+35.4
Median household income (ACS)	84,275	67	40%	+26.9
Households (ACS)	11,031	87	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	51.9	85	35%	+29.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.0	57	25%	+14.2
Population (ACS)	29,375	88	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	84,275	67	20%	+13.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.1	75	50%	+37.6
10-year restaurant growth	51.9	85	30%	+25.4
20-year restaurant growth	115.8	86	20%	+17.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (82)

By cuisine

American 18 · Coffee 11 · Burgers 10 · Pizza 10 · Sandwiches 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Mexican 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 25 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Dessert 8 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Specialty food shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
441 Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	9730 Norris Fwy	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	608 E Emory Rd	open
Asian Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	625 E Emory Rd	open
Asian Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	625 East Emory Road	open
Aubrey's Aubrey's Cleveland	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	214 E Emory Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7323 Clinton Hwy	open
Beer Emporium Emory Road	Bar		603 E Emory Rd	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1920 West Emory Road	open
Buddy's Bar-B-Q Buddy's bar-b-q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	404 E Emory Rd	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service	Burgers · American	700 E Emory Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	540 E Emory Rd	open
Cocina y Tienda Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7217 Clinton Hwy	open
Cook Out Cook Out	Quick service	Burgers · BBQ	435 E Emory Rd	open
Corn Pone Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		7715 Clinton Hwy	open
Creekside Sno	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1714 W Emory Rd	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service			open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	400 E Emory Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2145 Emory Road	open
El Jinete - Powell El Jinete Oak Ridge Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	237 E Emory Rd #117	open
El Mariachi Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	603 E Emory Rd Ste 101	open
El Rey Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3515 W Emory Rd	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	603 E. Emory Rd.	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	7531 Barnett Way	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	221 E Emory Rd Suite 101	open
Free Reign Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3531 W Emory Rd	open
Full House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3507 W Emory Rd	open
Genuine Blue Mountain Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7669 Clinton Hwy	open
Halftime Pizza & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2509 W Emory Rd	open
Humphammer's Market and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Hot dogs · Burgers	7331 Clinton Hwy	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2116 West Emory Road	open
Joli B's Bakery a Spectrum of Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2109 W Emory Rd	open
K Pow Wings Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 E Emory Rd	open
Kj Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	1738 W Emory Rd	open
Knob Fork	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American		open
Krystal	Quick service		405 E Emory Rd	open
Life House Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7545 Brickyard Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3563 W Emory Rd	open
Lulu's Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · American	3703 W Beaver Creek Dr	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7327 Clinton Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	409 E Emory Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6715 Clinton Hwy	open
MTM's	Bar		7712 Clinton Hwy	open
My Place Sports Bar	Bar		560 Edgemoor Rd	open
NikNak's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3537 W Emory Rd	open
Panthers Dough Joe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	1902 W Emory Rd	open
Papa Dom's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7601 Clinton Hwy	open
Pero's In Powell	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7535 Conner Rd	open
Petro's Chili & Chips Petros Love at First Bite	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	631 E Emory Rd	open
Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7603 Clinton Hwy	open
Pizza Hoss in Powell	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	7215 Clinton Hwy	open
Pretty Girl Pours	Café	Coffee	2109 W Emory Rd	open
Ruby Tuesday	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	508 E Emory Rd	open
Salsarita's Fresh Mexican Grill Salsarita's Fresh Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	570 E Emory Rd	open
Scotties of Powell	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	7143 Clinton Hwy	open
Shoney's Shoney's Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	315 E Emory Rd	open
Silver dollar saloon	Bar		2639 Clinton Hwy	open
Sixthslice Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7327 Clinton Hwy	open
Southern Kitchen Sandwich Company	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2307 W Emory Rd	open
Southern Yankee Pizza	Food truck	Pizza · Italian	N/a	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	401 E Emory Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	401 E Emory Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	430 E Emory Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	430 E Emory Rd	open
Steak 'n Shake	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	500 E Emory Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	601 Edgemoor Rd	open
Sweet Fix	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1205 Hoss Rd	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 E Emory Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	611 East Emory Rd	open
taqueria El campesino	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	7135 Clinton Hwy	open
Tcby	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	404 E Emory Rd	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	7559 Conner Rd	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	7559 Conner Road	open
The Golden Roast Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	1900 W Emory Rd	open
The Sushi Spot, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7535 Barnett Way	open
Thofoods	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7124 Small Creek Way	open
Tokyo Sushi & Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	603 E Emory Rd #101	open
Trey’s Snack Shack	Food truck		7821 Cranley Rd	open
Velocity Coffee & Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	7107 Clinton Hwy	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	EXIT 112, 309 E Emory Rd I 75	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	425 E Emory Rd	open
Wild Wing Cafe Wild Wing Cafe	Bar · Casual dining	American	119 E Emory Rd	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	607 E Emory Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	17	16	7	9	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	18	17	7	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	15	15	8	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	19	9	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	18	18	9	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	19	18	9	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	22	12	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	24	23	9	12	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	25	23	11	11	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	29	27	12	14	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	29	27	12	13	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	29	27	12	14	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	29	27	11	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	29	27	11	15	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	31	29	10	16	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	32	31	11	17	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	34	33	11	18	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	35	33	11	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	37	35	12	20	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	38	36	12	21	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	37	35	10	21	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	38	12	21	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	43	39	12	20	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	44	41	12	22	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37849. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37912	4.8 mi	61	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.