BMIE Market 37865

Sevier County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,074 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,952 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,687 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±645 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,912 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,669 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,231 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,402 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,351 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$312,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,909 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	73.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37865
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+3.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-9.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+70.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+222.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 22–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.29) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37865. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.29, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.8	80	40%	+31.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.4	54	35%	+19.1
Market Momentum Score	50.4	50	25%	+12.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,074	85	40%	+34.1
Median household income (ACS)	88,231	72	40%	+28.6
Households (ACS)	9,687	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-9.4	19	35%	+6.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.6	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	25,074	85	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	88,231	72	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	3.6	60	50%	+29.9
10-year restaurant growth	-9.4	19	30%	+5.6
20-year restaurant growth	70.6	75	20%	+14.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (59)

By cuisine

American 17 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Italian 5 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Quick service 16 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
434 Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	434 Boyds Creek Hwy	open
A Taste Of Country	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	12223 Chapman Hwy	open
Asian Yummy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	11503 Chapman Hwy	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	11561 Chapman Hwy	open
Buck'N Good Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	11311 Chapman Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	11423 Chapman Hwy	open
Butt Brothers BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	224 Mohawk Cir	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10650 Chapman Hwy	open
Chapmans Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10321 Chapman Hwy	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10721 Chapman Hwy #3	open
Craven Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11612 Chapman Hwy	open
Craven Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings	10721 Chapman Hwy SE	open
Cress Family Restaurants Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10721 Chapman Hwy Ste 21	open
D's Sweet Tooth	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	10721 Chapman Hwy SE	open
Dairy Queen Grill and Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	10724 Chapman Hwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	10635 Chapman Highway	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10646 Chapman Hwy	open
Epic Computing	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10119 Chapman Hwy	open
Fireside Cheesecakes and BBQ	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Dessert	10225 Chapman Hwy	open
Flowers Baking Co Flowers' discount Bakery Store	Bakery	Bakery	11107 Chapman Hwy	open
Francesca Villa Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10721 Chapman Hwy	open
Huck Finn's Catfish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	146 Vista Ln	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11503 Chapman Hwy	open
Kiko's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	821 Boyds Creek Hwy	open
King's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	430 Tittsworth Springs Rd	open
Krystal	Quick service		10708 Chapman Hwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11212 Chapman Hwy #104	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		10646 Chapman Hwy	open
Mama's Kountry Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	10231 Chapman Hwy SE	open
Mamma Mia's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	10721 Chapman Hwy SE	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	11416 Chapman Hwy	open
Mi Querida Colombia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Seafood	11532 Chapman Hwy	open
Monina's Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		821 Boyds Creek Hwy	open
MQC Tennessee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	11532 Chapman Hwy SE	open
Nonna's Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10321 Chapman Hwy	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10725 chapman highway	open
Papa Murphy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11516 Chapman Highway	open
Pelanchos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10721 Chapman Hwy SE	open
Roberson Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10211 Chapman Hwy	open
Sakura Sushi & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	10721 Chapman Hwy SE	open
Seymour Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	11612 Chapman Hwy SE	open
Smashem’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American		open
Snappy Tomato Pizza Snappy Tomato Pizza - Union City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11503 Chapman Hwy	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10642 Chapman Hwy	open
South on a Sandwich	Restaurant (service type not stated)		578 Smoky Valley Ln	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	11503 Chapman Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10631 Chapman Hwy	open
Sweetz-s	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	10721 Chapman Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	11524 Chapman Highway	open
Taste Of Country	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10721 Chapman Hwy Ste 6	open
Tennessee Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	935 Boyds Creek Hwy	open
The Bridge Coffee House and Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · American	11935 Chapman Hwy	open
The Fillin Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	13320 Chapman Hwy	open
The Golden Crumb Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1017 Little Alpine Rd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	10638 Chapman Hwy	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10707 Chapman Hwy SE	open
Willie's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	11621 Chapman Hwy	open
Yamato Japanese Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	10721 Chapman Hwy	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	10614 Chapman Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	5	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	16	4	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	15	14	3	11	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	16	3	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	19	3	15	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	27	26	9	16	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	26	25	8	16	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	27	26	8	15	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	28	27	9	14	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	29	28	9	16	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	32	32	11	17	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	33	33	12	20	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	29	8	18	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	30	30	7	21	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	35	35	10	23	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	28	7	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	28	8	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	29	29	8	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	30	9	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	28	9	15	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	29	11	16	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37865. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.