BMIE Market 37882

Blount County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,914 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,363 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,724 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,456 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$69,012 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	61.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,030 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$344,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,200 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	183.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37882
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	47.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+166.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 8–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	45 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37882. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.7	50	40%	+19.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.5	45	35%	+15.6
Market Momentum Score	81.2	81	25%	+20.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,914	52	40%	+20.6
Median household income (ACS)	69,012	45	40%	+18.2
Households (ACS)	1,363	55	20%	+10.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	35%	+23.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	54.9	9	25%	+2.1
Population (ACS)	2,914	52	20%	+10.3
Median household income (ACS)	69,012	45	20%	+9.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	60	92	50%	+46.2
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	30%	+19.7
20-year restaurant growth	77.8	77	20%	+15.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 7 · Breakfast 4 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bar 5 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Apple Valley Mountain Village	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	7138 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Bear Grounds	Coffee shop	Coffee	7927 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Black Bear Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7621 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Brianna's Italian Restaurant and Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7967 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Burger Master Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	8439 TN-73	open
Cades Cove Cellars Cades Cove Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7126 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Carriage House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	113-161 Tom Henry Rd	open
Clark's Deli & Sweets Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7717 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Company Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		8351 TN-73	open
Dancing Bear Appalachian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7140 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
East Cuisine Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	7621 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Fudge Shop	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	7138 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Good Vibes "On the River" Restaurant & Gift Shop	Café · Bakery	Coffee · Breakfast · Bakery		open
Hearth & Kettle Restaurant & Gift Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7767 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8125 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
La Frontera events center and sports bar	Bar		7767 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Little River Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	149 Painted Trillium Way	open
Little River Pub and Deli	Bar · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	7503 W Old Hwy 73	open
Monte Real Grill 2 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8123 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Peaceful Side Social	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar		7967 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
The Artistic Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8027 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
The Carriage House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8130 State Highway 73	open
The Chocolate Bar of Townsend	Dessert	Dessert	7807 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
The Cove Café And Wine Bar	Bar		220 Winterberry Ln	open
The Dancing Bean	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	7142 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
The Riverstone Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8503 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
The Secret Slice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	118 Stables Dr	open
Towns End Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	7723 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Townsend Abbey	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	7765 River Dr	open
Townsend Great Smokies Sweet Shoppe	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	8533 State Highway 73	open
Townsend Pancake House & Pizzaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	7767 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Trailhead Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7839 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Two Dips and a Scoop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7325 E Lamar Alexander Pkwy	open
Waylon's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7613 W Old Hwy 73	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	11	7	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	14	10	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	12	11	9	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	9	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	10	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	13	10	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	14	4	5	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	16	4	6	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37882. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.