BMIE Market 37931

Knox County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,842 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,869 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,538 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±637 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,109 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,972 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$92,150 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,216 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,542 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$359,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,827 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 37931
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+72.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+111.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+280.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 19–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 37931. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.1	84	40%	+33.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86.0	86	35%	+30.1
Market Momentum Score	81.7	82	25%	+20.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,842	90	40%	+36.0
Median household income (ACS)	92,150	75	40%	+30.1
Households (ACS)	12,538	90	20%	+18.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	35%	+30.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.0	88	25%	+22.1
Population (ACS)	31,842	90	20%	+18.0
Median household income (ACS)	92,150	75	20%	+15.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.8	76	50%	+38.2
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	30%	+26.5
20-year restaurant growth	111.1	85	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

Pizza 7 · Coffee 6 · American 5 · Mexican 5 · Dessert 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 10 · Café 6 · Dessert 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 3 · Delivery-focused 3 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Antojitos Mexicanos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7780 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Archers BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	7650 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Aubrey's Cedar Bluff Aubrey's Cleveland	Casual dining · Bar	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9208 Middlebrook Pike	open
Aubrey's Cedar Bluff	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Bc Athletics, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2510 Solway Rd	open
Beach Bums Shaved Ice	Dessert	Dessert	8335 oak ridge highway	open
Beaver's Dough-Joe	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	7650 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Bella Roma Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7817 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Blimpie	Quick service		8901 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7505 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Chen Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7658 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Corner 16	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1640 Bob Kirby Rd	open
Creekside & The Back Alley	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6729 Malone Creek Dr	open
Crispy Cones - Knoxville Crispý Cones	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	6736 Malone Crk Dr Suite B	open
D & B's Hot Dogs and Ice Cream	Dessert · Casual dining	Hot dogs · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	8909 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	9615 Countryside Center Ln	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	6738 Malone Crk Dr	open
Hardee's / Red Burrito	Quick service		7762 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Hippie Bowls	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	8907 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Honkey bucket #3	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	6335 W Emory Rd	open
Little Nicky's New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8917 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7134 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Miss Pumpernickels Farm Stand	Food truck		3110 George Light Rd	open
Panda House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9209 Middlebrook Pike	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9205 Middlebrook Pike	open
Pizza Hoss Karns	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7664 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8901 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Porton Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	9623 Countryside Center Ln	open
Reagan Landing HOA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	10425 Clover Ridge Ln	open
Scoopsville Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7662 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Seasons Cafe Knoxville , Tn	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee		open
Senor Cactus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	7811 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Smash Mouth BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	6659 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
SmashCity Food Truck	Food truck		6729 Malone Creek Dr	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7816 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9161 Middlebrook Pike	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	7466 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	6710 Malone Crk Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	9565 Middlebrook Pike	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7654 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9629 Countryside Lane	open
Swig Swig	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4504 Grassy Knl Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	6790 Malone Creek Dr.	open
Tacos Yoyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7154 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
The Ultimate Doughnut Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	7815 Oak Ridge Hwy	open
Waves Of Grain Co.	Bakery	Bakery	9623 Denning Ln	open
Chen Jia Yuan Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7658 Oak Ridge Hwy	closed
Dega Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2926 Byington Solway Rd	closed
Kibkab Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	7780 Oak Ridge Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	3	3	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	4	2	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	1	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	10	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	2	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	16	13	6	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	16	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	21	8	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	20	7	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	17	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	16	6	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	19	7	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 37931. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
37923	4.2 mi	67	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.