BMIE Market 38012

Haywood County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,031 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±370 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,373 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±251 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,575 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,328 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$45,974 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,797 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$759 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$161,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,311 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	272.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 38012
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+85.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 27–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 38012. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.1	49	40%	+19.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.5	49	35%	+17.3
Market Momentum Score	50.3	50	25%	+12.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,031	75	40%	+29.8
Median household income (ACS)	45,974	11	40%	+4.2
Households (ACS)	5,373	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.8	66	35%	+23.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.0	37	25%	+9.3
Population (ACS)	13,031	75	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	45,974	11	20%	+2.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	23.8	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	23.8	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

American 20 · Mexican 6 · BBQ 5 · Burgers 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Coffee 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Steakhouse 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Brazilian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Quick service 16 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 8 · Café 4 · Catering 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Back Nine Grill and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1249 Country Club Rd	open
Baskin Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	206 E Main St	open
Brownsville Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African · American		open
Brownsville Meeting Grounds	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	42 S Washington Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	318 E Main St	open
Cafe Rhema	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1143 Tammbell St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1118 South Dupree Avenue	open
ChurrascoVille - Brazilian SteakHouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian · Steakhouse · Latin American (other)	118 S Jackson Ave	open
Dairy Creem	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1139 N Washington Ave	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2570 Anderson Ave	open
Delta Room Back Yard Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering · Casual dining	BBQ · American	703 E Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	251 W Main St	open
El Ranchitos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	500 E Main St	open
Grillmaster Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1660 North McLemore	open
Habanero's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	326 W Main St	open
Helen's Bar BQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1016 N Washington Ave	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4032 Highway 76 S	open
Jack's Jack's	Quick service · Casual dining	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	510 E Main St	open
JB Warren & Son Grocery	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers · Sandwiches	13 Woodland Church Rd	open
Jimmy's Main Street Grill	Casual dining	American	1515 E Main St	open
Karaoke Plus Hookah Lounge	Bar		5958 Highway 54 W	open
Kaveh Enterprises, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		251 W Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2560 Anderson Avenue	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	205 Anderson Ave	open
Las Palmas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	27 S Lafayette Ave	open
Lil E's Grill & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1139 N Washington Ave	open
Lilie's On The Square	Café	Coffee · Seafood · American	36 N Washington Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	140 S Dupree St	open
Livingston's Soda Fountain and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	60 S Washington Ave	open
LP’s Neighborhood Sports Bar&Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3625 Bond Ferry Rd	open
Main Moon Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	471 North N Dupree St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2586 Anderson Avenue	open
Milano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6 S Ct Square	open
Mindfield Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	8 S Monroe Ave	open
Moose Lodge food ,drinks and fishing	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2219 Hwy 70 W	open
MR BABY BACK RESTAURANT	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1451 E Main St	open
MR JOEL TACO	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1515 E Main St	open
NXT Level Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	20 S Washington Ave	open
O'Taste & See	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	American	35 S Jackson Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2519 Anderson Ave	open
Raisin Cain BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1499 Anderson Ave	open
Rocky Top Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		3302 Hwy 70 W	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	414 East Main Street	open
Splendid Nutrition	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	1141 Tammbell St	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1000 E Main St	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2575 Anderson Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1476 E Main St	open
Tammy's Tamales & Tortillas	Bakery	Bakery	598 Southall Ln	open
TeTe's Food Wagon	Food truck · Catering			open
The Basket	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1004 N Washington Ave	open
The Firehouse Pub	Bar		3302 US Highway 70 W	open
The Fork	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	13 Woodland Church Rd	open
Tina Turner Hwy	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Twin Oaks Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1744 US-70	open
Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2583 ANDERSON Ave	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1122 S Dupree Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service		1122 S Dupree Ave.	open
Wing Out	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	16 S Grand Ave	open
Zz’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	42 S Washington Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	19	18	6	12	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	19	19	8	11	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	21	21	9	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	21	20	10	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	22	21	10	11	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	22	21	8	13	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	22	21	8	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	21	20	7	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	20	19	5	11	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	25	23	7	14	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	22	20	7	12	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	20	8	11	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	24	21	7	13	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	22	21	9	11	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	24	11	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	21	21	9	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	21	21	9	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	23	23	9	11	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	25	24	11	12	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	23	22	10	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	26	11	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	28	11	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	27	11	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	25	9	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	27	9	17	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	26	8	15	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 38012. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.