BMIE Market 38127
Shelby County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 39,541 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,636 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 14,427 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±640 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 45,248 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 18,290 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $36,901 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 30.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,160 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $90,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,983 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 37.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 38127 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +3.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -3.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 36 (range 32–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 38127. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 57.9 | 58 | 40% | +23.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.3 | 62 | 35% | +21.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 52.6 | 53 | 25% | +13.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 39,541 | 94 | 40% | +37.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 36,901 | 5 | 40% | +1.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 14,427 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20 | 63 | 35% | +22.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.6 | 82 | 25% | +20.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 39,541 | 94 | 20% | +18.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 36,901 | 5 | 20% | +0.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 3.5 | 60 | 50% | +29.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20 | 63 | 30% | +18.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -3.2 | 19 | 20% | +3.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (74)
By cuisine
American 24 · Chicken / wings 15 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 10 · Burgers 9 · BBQ 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Chinese 5 · Seafood 4 · Asian 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Mexican 2 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Quick service 21 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Yeast Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Bakery | Bakery | 251 Stiles Dr | open |
| Big Dawgs Memphis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3057 Thomas St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2209 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2641 N Hollywood St | open |
| Cajun King / Lucky Chow - Frayser TN Cajun King / Lucky Chow - Greenwood MS | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 2342 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Captain D's Captain D's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 2238 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Chambers' Southern SMOKE | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | BBQ | 2383 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Chester's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5390 Hwy 51 | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3077 Thomas St | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2237 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Crutchfields BBQ “Rollin Smoke” | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 2661 N Hollywood St | open |
| Dennis's Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2299 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Dixie Queen | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3331 Overton Crossing St | open |
| Exotic Island Nite Club Lounge | Bar | 3188 N Watkins St | open | |
| Flame Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 3065 Thomas St | open |
| Grub-n-go Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3228 Thomas St | open |
| Happy Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian · American | 3685 N Watkins St | open |
| Harpos Hogpen | Casual dining · Bar | 4212 TN-3 | open | |
| Harvester Inn Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 681 Whitney Ave | open | |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Chicken / wings | open | |
| Joann Family Affair | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2550 N Watkins St | open |
| Jr's Fish And Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · American | 2200 Frayser Blvd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2055 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Lil Wen's Kitchen | Casual dining · Café · Bar | Chinese · Coffee | open | |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3390 Overton Crossing St | open |
| Lucky Inn Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · American | 2554 N Watkins St | open |
| Lula's Frozen Treats | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1750 Frayser Blvd Ste C | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3149 N Thomas St | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 2062 Frayser Blvd | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2681 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Means Wingz and Thingz | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 3455 N Watkins St | open |
| Memphis Reign Ultra Lounge | Bar | 2164 Frayser Blvd | open | |
| Ms D Wings LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 3722 N Watkins St | open |
| Ms. Diane's Good Home Cooking | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3145 N Watkins St | open |
| Ookaboo's Sports Bar And Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3145 N Watkins St | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3363 Thomas Street | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2629 N Hollywood St | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2153 Frayser Blvd | open |
| R & A Junior Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2200 Frayser Blvd | open | |
| Red Snapper Memphis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Chicken / wings · American | 2636 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Rich World Seafood and Wingz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Seafood | 3145 N Watkins St | open |
| Rlt Enterprises Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3077 Thomas St | open | |
| ScarFace Kings Lounge | Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3569 N Watkins St | open |
| Sing Lay Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2684 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Sms Bros Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5341 US Highway 51 N | open | |
| Sonic | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3332 Overton Crossing St | open |
| Soul Food To-Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3228 Thomas St | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3168 Thomas Street Unit G020 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2580 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Superb Wings Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2278 Frayser Blvd | open | |
| Szechuan Hot Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2578 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3233 Thomas St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2183 Frayser Blvd. | open |
| That's It Wings & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Chicken / wings | 3392 N Watkins St | open |
| The Climax Event Lounge | Bar | 3183 N Watkins St | open | |
| The Excitement Restaurant And Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | 3188 N Watkins St | open | |
| The Loves Touch | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1738 Winston Dr | open |
| The Sweet Spot Bakery,LLC | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| The Wing Zone | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3722 N Watkins St | open |
| Toogl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Burgers | 3174 Thomas St | open |
| Tops Bar-B-Q Tops Bar-B-Q & Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 3023 Thomas St | open |
| Tops Bar-B-Q Tops Bar-B-Q & Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2288 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Trap Farmacy | Bar | 2683 N Watkins St | open | |
| Unk's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | N Hollywood St | open |
| Warren J's Wings N | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3740 Belleau St | open |
| Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3275 Thomas St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2221 Frayser Blvd | open |
| Where It's At | Bar · Food truck | 3188 N Watkins St | open | |
| Willie B’s Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3716 N Watkins St | open |
| Wingology Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 2661 N Hollywood St | open |
| Woodstock Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5341 US Highway 51 N | open | |
| Woodstockcountrystore | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | BBQ · Sandwiches | 6055 Woodstock Cuba Rd | open |
| Margaret's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4040 N Watkins St | closed | |
| Ms. D's Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3228 Thomas St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 37 | 36 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 32 | 31 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 33 | 31 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 37 | 35 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 40 | 36 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 37 | 33 | 9 | 22 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 36 | 33 | 10 | 22 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 30 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 29 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 33 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 30 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 33 | 32 | 10 | 22 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 31 | 7 | 24 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 31 | 8 | 23 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 31 | 29 | 8 | 21 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 30 | 29 | 6 | 23 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 26 | 26 | 6 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 25 | 5 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 26 | 6 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 25 | 4 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 27 | 27 | 5 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 24 | 4 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 25 | 5 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 30 | 30 | 3 | 27 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 29 | 29 | — | 27 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 32 | — | 30 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 29 | 29 | — | 27 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 32 | 31 | 3 | 27 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 32 | 4 | 28 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 30 | 30 | 3 | 27 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.