BMIE Market 38562

Jackson County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,493 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±262 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,554 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,297 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$39,398 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,391 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$689 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±151 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$148,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,958 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	139.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 38562
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 11–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.54) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 38562. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.54, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	41.3	41	40%	+16.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.5	59	35%	+20.8
Market Momentum Score	47.5	47	25%	+11.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,493	64	40%	+25.8
Median household income (ACS)	39,398	6	40%	+2.3
Households (ACS)	2,748	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	80	89	35%	+31.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.9	57	25%	+14.3
Population (ACS)	6,493	64	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	39,398	6	20%	+1.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	80	89	30%	+26.7
20-year restaurant growth	80	77	20%	+15.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Dessert 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 4 · Quick service 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Agave’s Gainesboro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	440 N Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
All American Concessions	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	238 N Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
Ariola's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	104 E Hull Ave	open
Bight of the Bend	Restaurant (service type not stated)		106 E Hull Ave	open
CG's pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3779 S Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	DQ Grill & Chill Restaurant 185 S Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
Doe Creek Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		197 Doe Creek Ln	open
Fatboy’s Barbie-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		663 S Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
Fayes Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	107 S Union St	open
Giovanni's Pizza Giovanni's Fairborn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	452 N Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
Helens Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3013 S Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
Honest John's Custard	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	302 Minor St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4005 Grundy Quaries Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2246 S Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	4005 Grundy Quaries Rd	open
Nana's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3779 S Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
Nostalgic Coffee Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	112 S Main St	open
Roaring River Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		208 S Main St	open
Seasons Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	440 N Grundy Quarles Hwy	open
Subway Restaurant Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	697 Haile Hollow Rd	open
The Board Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	102 S Main St	open
The Bull & Thistle Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	102 S Main St	open
The Stolen Coin	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	110 S Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	9	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	9	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 38562. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.