BMIE Market 39475

Lamar County, Mississippi · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,530 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,686 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±434 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,225 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,980 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,887 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$994 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±68 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$192,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,333 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	158.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 39475
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+58.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+72.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+72.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+216.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 18–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 39475. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Mississippi and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 279, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.5	60	40%	+24.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.5	69	35%	+24.0
Market Momentum Score	87.6	88	25%	+21.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,530	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	63,887	37	40%	+14.8
Households (ACS)	5,686	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	35%	+30.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.1	60	25%	+15.0
Population (ACS)	14,530	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	63,887	37	20%	+7.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	58.3	92	50%	+46.1
10-year restaurant growth	72.7	88	30%	+26.5
20-year restaurant growth	72.7	75	20%	+15.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

American 10 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Coffee 3 · Seafood 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bakery 6 · Quick service 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
475 Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	176 Shelby Speights Dr	open
Candy Custom Cakes and Toppers	Bakery	Bakery	11 Clear Lake Rd Lot A	open
Courtneys Enterprise Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		176 Shelby Speights Dr	open
Cuevas Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	5781 US-11	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	5828 Mitchell Ave	open
Family Farms Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	70 AB Keith Rd	open
Flavor Of Love Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5 Center Wind Rdg W Apt D	open
Gambino Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegan · Seafood	316 Boggy Hollow Rd	open
Golden Chick	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 Highway 589	open
Hillside Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	176 Shelby Speights Dr #11	open
Jack's Jack's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	27 Lamar Property Dr	open
Java Moe's Coffee Company - Purvis Java Moe's Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	157 Shelby Speights Dr	open
Jojo’s Pantry LLC	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	213 7th St	open
La Fuente Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	176 Shelby Speights Dr	open
Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	361 Highway 589	open
Lt's Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	590 MS-589	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5772 Us Hwy 11	open
Milano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	176 Shelby Speights Dr Suite 11	open
Petunia's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5878 US-11	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	176 Shelby Speights Dr., #1	open
Purvis Donuts and Kolaches	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	162 Shelby Speights Dr	open
Rio Grande Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	33 MS-589	open
Snow & Joe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	578 Highway 589	open
So Original	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Juice / smoothies	136 Center St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5814 Us Highway 11	open
STEAM Craft Coffee & Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	120 Front St	open
Stonehouse Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	176 Shelby Speights Dr Ste 2	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5796 Highway ll Ste 1	open
The Chuckwagon Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	625 MS-589	open
The Pound Cake	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	505 Doc Johnson Rd	open
The Salty Chef	Food truck		578 Highway 589	open
The Shoppe Ice Cream & More	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	78 Shelby Speights Dr	open
Two Sisters at Sandy Run Farm	Bakery	Bakery	1152 Brooks Rd	open
Ward's Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5845 US-11	open
Ward's Restaurant Hattiesburg Ward's Restaurant	Quick service		1633 Hwy 11 Bypass	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	8	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	13	8	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	16	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	17	5	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	19	5	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 39475. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.