BMIE Market 39817

Decatur County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,158 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±977 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,789 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±416 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,894 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,370 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,065 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,595 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$840 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$159,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,265 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	144.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 39817
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.42) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 39817. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.42, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.6	51	40%	+20.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.5	64	35%	+22.2
Market Momentum Score	90.9	91	25%	+22.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,158	72	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	53,065	19	40%	+7.6
Households (ACS)	3,789	70	20%	+14.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.4	59	25%	+14.7
Population (ACS)	11,158	72	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	53,065	19	20%	+3.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+58.2
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+32.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · American 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 8 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
All In One Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	318 E Water St	open
Astashop	Food truck		309 N Broad St	open
Bare Face	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	600 E Calhoun St	open
Bonnie Blue House On The Flint	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	402 W Water St	open
Boyd's Pit Bar-Be-Que & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	721 E Calhoun St	open
Cafe Sinclair	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	129 E Water St	open
Coca-Cola Bottling Company UNITED, Inc. Coca-Cola Bottling Company UNITED, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1285 Colquitt Hwy	open
Coots Bar B- Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	318 E Water St	open
Cotton Patch Cafe	Café	Coffee	308 E Water St	open
Curly's on the Flint	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2402 Airport Rd	open
Da Phone	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1007 Dothan Rd	open
Dixieland Donuts Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		721 E Calhoun St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	505 S Scott Street	open
Downtown Station	Bar		213 N Clay St	open
Great Wall Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	126 S Broad St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	500 E Calhoun St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1921 Spring Creek Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2331 Dothan Road	open
Isaacs Bakery & Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	121 S Broad St	open
Jims Oyster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2309 Dothan Rd	open
Off Da Hookah Lounge And Cigars	Bar		332 N Broad St	open
Ono Kine Local Grindz	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2400 Airport Rd	open
Pawpaw's Dog House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		109 N West St	open
Port City Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	122 E Broughton St	open
Port City Nutrition Bainbridge, Ga	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	125 E Calhoun St	open
Port City Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		414 E Calhoun St	open
Recovery Room & Açaí Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	131 E Water St	open
Reynold's Sandbar	Bar			open
River City Grill And Pizzeria	Casual dining · Bar		400 N Scott St	open
Scoops Bainbridge	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	211 E Water St	open
Smokin Moe's BBQ and Wings	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2769 Old Whigham Rd	open
Smooth Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		409 N Broad St	open
Southern Philosophy Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		114 E Broughton St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1800 Dothan Rd	open
Sunvalley Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1800 Dothan Rd	open
Surcheros - Bainbridge, GA Surcheros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	105 N West St	open
The Bean Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	101 E Water St	open
The Bean Cafe	Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	101 E Water St	open
The Dam Bar And Billiards	Bar		213 N Clay St	open
The Donut Shop The Donut Shop	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	122 E Calhoun St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2004	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	3	2	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	8	4	1	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	15	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 39817. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.