BMIE Market 39819

Decatur County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,140 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±819 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,944 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±383 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,282 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,145 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,426 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,814 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$797 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±109 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$181,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,835 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	150.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 39819
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+211.1% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 27–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 39819. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	53.1	53	40%	+21.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.8	44	35%	+15.3
Market Momentum Score	58.8	59	25%	+14.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,140	74	40%	+29.4
Median household income (ACS)	55,426	22	40%	+8.9
Households (ACS)	4,944	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.7	49	35%	+17.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.1	30	25%	+7.5
Population (ACS)	12,140	74	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	55,426	22	20%	+4.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.7	65	50%	+40.5
10-year restaurant growth	3.7	49	30%	+18.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (55)

By cuisine

American 11 · Pizza 9 · Chicken / wings 7 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Quick service 20 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Buffet 2 · Café 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Squares Diner - Bainbridge GA 3 Squares Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	523 W Shotwell St	open
American Pie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	925 E Shotwell St	open
Beef 'O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1408 Tallahassee Hwy	open
Blimpie	Quick service		1408 E Shotwell St	open
Buck Barn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1603 Old Quincy Rd	open
Burger King	Quick service		1230 E Shotwell St	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Quick service	Seafood · American	929 E Shotwell St	open
Carter's Fried Chicken	Quick service		1124 E Shotwell St	open
Catering by J Lo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	204 W Alice St	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1451 Tallahassee Hwy	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	519 W Shotwell St	open
El Changarro El Changarro - El Salvador	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	815 E Evans St	open
Ellianos Bainbridge Ellianos Coffee	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	820 S Scott St	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	1408 Tallahassee Highway	open
Five Star China Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	1400 E Shotwell St	open
Flint River Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	E Shotwell St 1603 A	open
Golden Corral	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1302 E Shotwell St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1000 E Shotwell St	open
Hoss’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1760 Tallahassee Hwy	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1761 Faceville Hwy	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1100 E Shotwell St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	720 Faceville Highway	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1418 Tallahassee Highway	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3225 Faceville Highway	open
J3 BBQ & Homemade Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated)		806 Loop Ave Ste D	open
J3 BBQ & Homemade Ice Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	BBQ · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	806 Loop Ave Ste C	open
Jack Wingates On Lake Seminole	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		139 Wingate Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1015 E. Shotwell St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1418 Tallahassee Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3225 Faceville Highway	open
Landing Bar	Casual dining · Bar		1401 Tallahassee Hwy	open
Laredo Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1411 Tallahassee Hwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1408 TALLAHASSEE HWY, STE E	open
Maryland Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	1414 E College St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1501 E Shotwell St	open
Osaka Hibachi & Sushi Bainbridge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1515 Tallahassee Hwy STE 103	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1300 E Shotwell St	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1412 Tallahassee Hwy	open
Ritho Caribbean Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	1127 E Shotwell St	open
Sakura Sushi & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	711 E Alice St	open
San Marcos \| Mexican Grill San Marcos Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1408 Tallahassee Hwy	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	711 E Alice St	open
Sorrendered To The Son, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		505 S Scott St	open
Southern Maid Donuts Southern Maid Donut Co	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	712 S Scott St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1011 E Shotwell St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	500 E Alice St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1402 E Shotwell St	open
Taqoena Los Sanches	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	712 S Scott St	open
Toole's Cakes & Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Dessert	Bakery · Sandwiches · Dessert	821 S Scott St	open
UMe Coffee and Pastries	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	118 E Shotwell St	open
Uncle Bill's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	112 W Shotwell St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	500 E Alice St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1307 East Shotwell Street	open
Yuki Express Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2007 Frontage Rd	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1404 Tallahassee Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2004	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	18	7	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	29	29	10	17	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	29	29	11	16	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	29	29	11	17	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	26	25	9	15	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	27	27	11	16	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	27	10	17	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	26	26	9	16	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	27	27	8	18	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	26	26	7	18	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	27	26	6	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	26	6	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	26	6	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	27	6	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	31	30	6	22	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	28	6	19	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	28	6	20	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 39819. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.