BMIE Market 39823

Early County, Georgia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,012 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,462 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,550 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,757 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,678 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±83 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$151,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39,876 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	347.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 39823
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-27.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-23.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+116.7% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.72) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	11 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 39823. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.72, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Georgia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 574, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.4	50	40%	+20.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.4	36	35%	+12.7
Market Momentum Score	10.6	11	25%	+2.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,012	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	55,441	22	40%	+8.9
Households (ACS)	3,462	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-23.5	13	35%	+4.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.4	55	25%	+13.7
Population (ACS)	9,012	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	55,441	22	20%	+4.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 11 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-27.8	9	50%	+5.9
10-year restaurant growth	-23.5	13	30%	+4.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (36)

By cuisine

American 17 · Pizza 5 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 8 · Bar 5 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Scoops & A Dog	Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Hot dogs	570 S Church St	open
Balance Blakely	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	104 Court Sq	open
Bizzy Bee Baking Company	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	11678 Columbia St	open
Blakely Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	186 N Main St	open
Bobcats Got the Scoop	Quick service · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	570 S Church St	open
Broken Arrow Sports Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2619 Lower River Rd	open
Cdg Food Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12310 Columbia St	open
Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12268 Columbia St	open
CJ's Fish and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	12315 Columbia St	open
Crazy Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · Chicken / wings · American	12268 Columbia St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	11365 Columbia St	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1944 South Main Street	open
Funny Girl Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	146 Court Sq	open
Georgia Browns Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		661 Damascus St	open
Huddle House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3140 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Pizza · Juice / smoothies	897 N Main St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	2178 South Main Street	open
HypeBite	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1379 S Main St	open
Johnny's Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	13098 Magnolia St	open
Log Cabin Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	2619 Lower River Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12310 Columbia St	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	11580 Columbia St	open
Om Shivani Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12246 Columbia St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11621 Columbia St	open
Prime 1 Computers, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1273 S Main St	open
Riley's Restaurant and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1379 S Main St	open
Rockabilly Coffee Collective	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	582 S Church St	open
Smitty's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2296 S Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12246 Columbia St	open
The 4th Out	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	96 Court Sq	open
The Munchie Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Hot dogs	160 County Road 249	open
The Restored House	Bar		418 Fort Gaines St	open
The Rodeo Cantina and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	546 S Church St	open
Tiner's Fish House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	37 Cotton Ave	open
Treats & Eats	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	188 Court Sq	open
Village Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	42 Court Sq	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2004	7	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	6	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	6	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	15	10	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	18	18	11	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	19	19	10	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	22	22	12	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	19	19	11	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	11	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	18	17	10	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	18	12	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	19	11	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	17	8	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	18	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	16	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 39823. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.