BMIE Market 40160

Hardin County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,624 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±918 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,748 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,574 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,182 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,506 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,892 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$942 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$165,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	53 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 40160
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+17.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+71.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+89.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	51 (range 42–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.16) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 40160. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.16, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.6	62	40%	+24.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.3	47	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	67.4	67	25%	+16.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,624	84	40%	+33.7
Median household income (ACS)	58,506	27	40%	+10.8
Households (ACS)	9,748	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.9	49	35%	+17.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.4	32	25%	+7.9
Population (ACS)	23,624	84	20%	+16.9
Median household income (ACS)	58,506	27	20%	+5.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	17.8	76	50%	+37.8
10-year restaurant growth	3.9	49	30%	+14.7
20-year restaurant growth	71.0	75	20%	+15.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (113)

By cuisine

American 22 · Mexican 12 · Pizza 12 · Coffee 11 · Asian 9 · Bakery 8 · Burgers 8 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Dessert 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Seafood 5 · BBQ 4 · Chinese 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Korean 3 · Greek 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Caribbean 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 71 · Quick service 27 · Casual dining 12 · Bakery 9 · Bar 9 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Delivery-focused 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
31 Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	705 N Dixie Blvd	open
4theFoodies	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	205 Lilac Ct	open
A&W Restaurant	Casual dining	American	333 S Dixie Blvd	open
Apostoli Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	158 W Vine St	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2059 Walmart Way	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	152 E Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Asian Express Asian Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	525 N Dixie Blvd	open
Asian Food And Gifts	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian		open
Autumn Gardens Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	863 N Wilson Rd #9	open
Band-Tab-ulous	Bar		1612 N Dixie Blvd	open
Bearclaw Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	1679 N Wilson Rd	open
BEER BELLY	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1396 N Dixie Blvd	open
Better On A Bagel	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	728 Knox Blvd	open
Blasian Persuasion	Restaurant (service type not stated)		N Wilson Rd	open
Boundary Oak Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		2000 Boundary Oak Dr	open
Buck's BBQ	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	1396 N Dixie Blvd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	225 South Dixie Boulevard	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3016 S Dixie Blvd	open
Cafe Stuttgart	Restaurant (service type not stated)		359 S Wilson Rd	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	511 S Dixie Highway	open
Captain D's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	511 S Dixie Highway	open
Chef Maria's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	661 S Wilson Rd	open
Chocolate Lab	Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	200 N Dixie Blvd b	open
Cinnful 69	Winery / distillery / taproom		2000 Boundary Oak Drive	open
Cleangoodeats	Delivery-focused	Healthy / salads / bowls	1483 N Dixie Blvd Ste B	open
Colton's Steak House & Grill Colton's Steak House & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	3050 S Dixie Blvd	open
Crab Party	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	161 E Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Dee Dee Delicious Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	865 S Dixie Blvd	open
Deutsche Ecke Bakery & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	451 N Wilson Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	651 S Wilson Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	675 Knox Blvd	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	2420 S Dixie Blvd	open
Eat At The Spot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	865 S Dixie Blvd	open
Egg Roll House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1320 N Dixie Blvd	open
El Camino Real El Caminos Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	179 E Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
El Molino Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	440 S Dixie Blvd	open
FAMILY FUN CAFE AND ICE CREAM	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Dessert · Coffee	1537 S Wilson Rd	open
Family Fun Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	677 Knox Blvd	open
Fed Up Barbecue & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	359 S Wilson Rd	open
Forest Hookah Lounge	Bar		725 Knox Blvd	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	333 South Dixie Blvd	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2300 S Dixie Blvd	open
Golden China Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	597 W Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Good Taste Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	125 E Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Gyros Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	661 Knox Blvd	open
Han Mi Oriental Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1499 N Dixie Blvd	open
Hardee's	Quick service		634 Knox Blvd	open
Huddle House Huddle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	3060 S Dixie Blvd	open
Hum R R O	Restaurant (service type not stated)		295 W Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	865 S Dixie Blvd	open
J's Northside Hall	Bar		1165 N Wilson Rd	open
J-boys	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	240 N Dixie Blvd	open
Juanito's Street Tacos & More Juanito's Street Tacos & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	885 N Dixie Blvd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	262 N Dixie Blvd	open
Kickin Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	125 W Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		1500 N Dixie Blvd	open
La Espada Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		179 E Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Lafond Street Eatz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	105 Kieta Way	open
Las Margaritas Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2400 S Dixie Blvd	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	178 S Dixie Blvd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	105 Kieta Way	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	474 W Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Los Nopales Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	440 S Dixie Blvd	open
Mama Theo's Bar-B-Que & Wings Radcliff	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Chicken / wings	1603 N Dixie Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	110 S Dixie Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3120 S Dixie Blvd	open
Miguel's Mexicant Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2021 Walmart Way	open
Miss Renae’s Sweets Shop	Bakery	Bakery	506 Homestead Ave	open
Mr. Pancho's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1275 N Dixie Blvd	open
My Rosita Llatino Grocery and Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	944 N Dixie Blvd	open
Nikki's Southern Touch Southern Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	104 Candy Ct	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1960 N Dixie Blvd	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	177 E Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Papi's Tacos and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	605 N Wilson Rd	open
Patton Armored Diesel	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2000 Boundary Oak Dr	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1945 N Dixie Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1215 N Dixie Blvd Hardin	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	990 S Dixie Blvd Hardin	open
Pupuseria La Unica	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2021 Walmart Way	open
Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	160 N Dixie Blvd	open
Ray’s Diner	Casual dining	American	359 S Wilson Rd	open
Red Barrel BBQ & Catering LLC	Catering · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	2941 S Wilson Rd	open
Rising Phoenix Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		605 N Wilson Rd	open
Sakura 17 Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	597 S Dixie Blvd	open
SAM'S GYRO Radcliff	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek	1499 N Dixie Blvd	open
Sam's Southern Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	597 S DIXIE Blvd	open
Savory Cinnamon Bake Shoppe	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	129 Persimmon Ridge	open
Sdi Operations, Radcliff, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1299 N Dixie Blvd	open
Simply Fresh Donutz	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	281 S Wilson Rd	open
Song's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Korean	661 Knox Blvd	open
Song's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	835 N Wilson Rd	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1299 N Dixie Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	100 N Dixie Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	168 S Dixie Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4000 Dixie Hwy	open
Super Smokes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		922 N Dixie Blvd	open
Sweet Sadie's Doggie Boutique	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	566 Congress Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	311 S Dixie Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3040 S. Dixie Blvd	open
The Fish House and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	200 N Dixie Blvd	open
The Gathering Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	728 Knox Blvd	open
The Midlife Crumble	Bakery	Bakery	527 Homestead Ave	open
Tokyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	161 E Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Trap House Chicken & Ribs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		659 N Wilson Rd	open
Tuscany Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	153 E Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	188 S Dixie Blvd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	102 Gateway Crossing Blvd	open
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	1145 Walmart Way	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	225 N. Dixie Blvd.	open
Who Dat Wingz & PoBoy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	1396 N Dixie Blvd	open
Who Dat Wingz & Poboy	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	865 Dixie Hwy	open
World Famous Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	205 E Lincoln Trail Blvd	open
Zozo's Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		593 W Lincoln Trail Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	28	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	28	28	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	30	30	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	35	35	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	34	32	11	20	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	33	32	12	19	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	34	34	13	21	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	30	30	9	21	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	35	34	7	24	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	31	31	8	21	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	35	33	9	22	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	35	33	8	23	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	39	36	10	24	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	39	36	15	20	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	43	41	14	21	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	45	43	15	23	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	45	44	14	24	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	47	46	16	25	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	43	42	14	25	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	52	51	18	27	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	41	40	16	20	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	44	42	16	22	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	42	40	15	21	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	49	47	19	26	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	47	45	17	26	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	53	51	20	28	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	45	44	17	24	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	47	46	17	26	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	50	46	16	27	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	57	53	18	30	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 40160. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.