BMIE Market 40223

Jefferson County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,798 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,971 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±543 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,011 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,722 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,607 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,482 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$362,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,461 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 40223
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+36.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	47 (range 43–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 40223. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.0	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.0	69	35%	+24.2
Market Momentum Score	72.6	73	25%	+18.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,798	84	40%	+33.4
Median household income (ACS)	96,607	79	40%	+31.5
Households (ACS)	9,971	86	20%	+17.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40.6	77	35%	+27.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.7	38	25%	+9.5
Population (ACS)	22,798	84	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	96,607	79	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.4	76	50%	+38.1
10-year restaurant growth	40.6	77	30%	+23.2
20-year restaurant growth	36.4	56	20%	+11.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (112)

By cuisine

Mexican 16 · American 13 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 8 · Sandwiches 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 6 · Chicken / wings 6 · Dessert 6 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Greek 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Japanese 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 73 · Quick service 16 · Bar 15 · Casual dining 9 · Café 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Other 4 · Fast casual 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anchorage Cafe	Café	Coffee	11505 Park Rd	open
Applebees	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9921 Ormsby Station Rd	open
Armadillo Ventures, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1860 Williamson Ct	open
Art Eatables Art Eatables	Dessert	Dessert	9816 Linn Station Rd	open
Atrium Cafe	Café	Coffee	9940 Corporate Campus Dr	open
Auntea Pearls Tea Establishment	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	9816 Linn Station Rd	open
B.f. Ft. Myers, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1903 Stanley Gault Pkwy	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	10264 Shelbyville Rd	open
Bb Sports Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2813 N Hurstbourne Pkwy	open
Ben & Jerry’s Ben & Jerry's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	13301 Shelbyville Rd #106	open
Billy's Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	13405 Eastpoint Centre Dr	open
Biscuit Belly Biscuit Belly	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American	13301 Shelbyville Rd	open
Blaze Pizza Blaze Pizza	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	13317 Shelbyville Rd	open
Blind Squirrel - Louisville	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		592 N English Station Rd	open
Bp Lake Buena Vista Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10350 Ormsby Park Pl Ste 202	open
Brownie's The Shed Grille & Bar	Bar · Casual dining		9900 Linn Station Rd	open
Cancun Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	9904 Linn Station Rd	open
CASK Southern Kitchen & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern	9980 Linn Station Rd	open
Chef's Cut Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	9901 C La Grange Rd	open
Chef's Cut Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	9901 C LaGrange Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	13313 Shelbyville Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	13303 Shelbyville Rd Ste 101	open
Derby City Pizza Plainview Derby City Pizza Company "PRP"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	9910 Linn Station Rd	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	9900 Linn Station Rd	open
Dinetime	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2301 Stanley Gault Pkwy	open
Dunkin' Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	10101 Linn Station Rd	open
Eat A Pita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek	100 Daventry Ln	open
El Burrito Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9904 Linn Station Rd	open
El Mariachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	9901 La Grange Rd	open
El Nopalito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9901 La Grange Rd	open
EL Toro Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10602 Shelbyville Rd	open
Firehouse Subs	Other	Sandwiches	13301 Shelbyville Rd	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	13303 Shelbyville Rd	open
Green District Salads Green District	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	13301 Shelbyville Rd #104	open
Grounds for Hope Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	11605 Hazelwood Rd	open
Guaca Mole	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9921 Ormsby Station Rd	open
Hospitality Steakhouse Baltimore Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1860 Williamson Ct	open
I Love Juice Juice Bar - Middletown	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Juice / smoothies	13317 Shelbyville Rd	open
Ichiban Samurai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	1510 Lake Shore Ct	open
InWave Restaurant and Juice Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian	10310 Shelbyville Rd	open
It's A Grind Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	2809 N Hurstbourne Pkwy	open
Jason's Deli Jason's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	410 Hurtsbourne Pkwy	open
Java Brewing Company Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10488 Shelbyville Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	10266 Shelbyville Rd	open
Joe's O.K. Bayou	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	9874 Linn Station Rd	open
Joella's Hot Chicken Joella's Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	13401 Shelbyville Rd	open
Kentucky Straight Ice Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		511 Obyrne Ave	open
Krispy Kreme Krispy Kreme Doughnuts	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	13319 Shelbyville Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10600 Shelbyville Rd	open
La Cocina De Mama	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2809 N Hurstbourne Pkwy	open
Limestone Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10001 Forest Green Blvd	open
Ling Ling Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10476 Shelbyville Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10274 Shelbyville Rd	open
Lokuz Bar	Bar		1506 Lake Shore Ct	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		10350 Ormsby Park Pl Ste 300	open
Marks Feed Stores Of Kentucky, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13113 Eastpoint Park Blvd Ste G	open
McAlister's Deli	Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	10041 Forest Green Blvd	open
McDonald's	Quick service		10219 Linn Station Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9901 Ormsby Station Road	open
Mexico Tipico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
Middletown Steakhouse Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1860 Williamson Ct	open
Moya's American Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10000 Linn Station Rd	open
MozzaPi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	12102 Lagrange Rd	open
Mr. G's Bar & Grill	Bar		10432 Shelbyville Rd	open
Mrg Pizza-tennessee, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10350 Ormsby Park Pl	open
My Favorite Muffin My Favorite Muffin	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	9800 Shelbyville Rd	open
Nbg Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9900 Linn Station Rd	open
O Line Sports Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	2813 N Hurstbourne Pkwy	open
Of Louisville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	2400 Eastpoint Pkwy	open
Panaderia Bakery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	9901 La Grange Rd	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	13311 Shelbyville Rd. Lot 4	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2809 N Hurstbourne Pkwy Ste 100	open
Perfetto Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9910 Linn Station Rd	open
Pujol's Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9904 Linn Station Rd	open
QDOBA Mexican Eats	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	100 Daventry Ln Ste 502	open
Quills Coffee - Northeast Regional Library	Café	Coffee	15 Bellevoir Cir	open
Raffertys Double Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		13307 Shelbyville Rd	open
Raymi Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Peruvian	10001 Forest Green Blvd	open
Roosters Roosters Wings - Canton	Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings · American	10430 Shelbyville Rd #7	open
Royals Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10310 Shelbyville Rd	open
Sazerac Sazerac	Winery / distillery / taproom		10101 Linn Station Rd #400	open
Sazerac Company Sazerac	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	10401 Linn Station Rd	open
Selena's at Willow Lake Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	10609 La Grange Rd	open
Sharetea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	13210 Shelbyville Rd Ste 104	open
Sichuan Garden Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9850 Linn Station Rd	open
Smoothie Haven	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		10003 Forest Green Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10418 Shelbyville Rd	open
Superior Van & Mobility Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1506 Lake Shore Ct	open
Swrd, Llc.d/b/a Zs Oyster Bar & Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		802 Stone Creek Pkwy Ste 7	open
Taco Rico Taco Rico	Food truck	Mexican	10600 Shelbyville Rd	open
Taqueria Guanajuato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9901 La Grange Rd	open
Taste of Asia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2809 N Hurstbourne Pkwy	open
Taziki's Mediterranean Cafe Taziki's Mediterranean Cafe	Café	Mediterranean · Greek · Coffee	13317 Shelbyville Rd	open
TEN20 Anchorage Taproom TEN20 Craft Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		11505 Park Rd	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	13321 Shelbyville Rd	open
Texas Roadhouse Of Anne Arundel Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1860 Williamson Ct	open
The Charcoal Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · BBQ	2805 N Hurstbourne Pkwy #100	open
The Comfy Cow	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	13301 Shelbyville Rd Ste 106	open
The House of Marigold	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10310 Shelbyville Rd	open
The Pita Pit	Other	Sandwiches	9816 Linn Station Rd	open
The Post	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9940 Corporate Campus Dr	open
The Village Anchor	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	11507 Park Rd	open
Tony Boombozz Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2813 N Hurstbourne Pkwy	open
Tres Amigos Of Louisville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	9921 Ormsby Station Rd	open
Tuck's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	100003 blue Ridge Road	open
Tumbleweed Southwest Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10000 Linn Station Rd	open
Vallarta Mexican Seafood & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Seafood	9874 Linn Station Rd	open
Vistar Kentucky	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		2701 Stanley Gault Pkwy	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12563 Shelbyville Rd	open
壹品家居	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Thyme-out Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2401 Stanley Gault Pkwy	closed
Yang Kee Noodle - Middletown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	13301 Shelbyville Rd Ste 101	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	34	33	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	33	32	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	41	38	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	44	42	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	43	38	16	19	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	42	37	15	18	4	3	NAICS1997
2000	52	45	18	23	4	5	NAICS1997
2001	60	51	25	21	5	5	NAICS1997
2002	39	30	15	12	3	4	NAICS1997
2003	39	33	17	14	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	41	36	17	15	4	2	NAICS2002
2005	39	32	15	15	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	35	28	14	12	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	36	28	14	13	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	39	34	15	17	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	32	27	12	14	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	44	37	19	16	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	37	30	15	13	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	38	30	15	11	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	41	32	18	10	3	2	NAICS2012
2014	43	33	18	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	45	37	21	12	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	50	41	19	17	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	47	39	20	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	46	38	20	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	46	37	19	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	47	39	21	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	49	40	19	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	48	41	19	19	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	54	45	20	22	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 40223. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
40243	1.3 mi	61	2023
40242	2.8 mi	3	2023
40241	3.5 mi	77	2023
40222	3.9 mi	97	2023
40056	4.5 mi	4	2020

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.